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Rane (Madras) to amalgamate Rane Diecast with self

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 30 Juni 2013 | 16.02

Rane (Madras) Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on June 28, 2013, have considered and approved a proposal for the amalgamation of Rane Diecast Limited ("RDL" or "the transferor company") with Rane (Madras) Limited ("RML" or "the Company" or "the transferee company) and their respective shareholders.The proposal would be implemented by a Scheme of Amalgamation ('the Scheme") under the provisions of Section 391-394 of the Companies Act, 1956, which provides for:(i) Amalgamation of Rane Diecast Limited having its registered office at "Maithri", No. 132, Cathedral Road, Chennai - 600 086, Tamil Nadu with Rane (Madras) Limited having its registered office at "Maithri", No.132, Cathedral Road, Chennai - 600 086, Tamil Nadu;(ii) In consideration for the transfer of and vesting of assets and liabilities of RDL as above, RML would issue:a. 1 (one) fully paid up equity share of Rs.10/- (Rupees Ten only) each of the Transferee Company for every 30 (thirty) fully paid-up equity shares of Rs. 10/-(Rupees Ten Only) each, held by the shareholders in Transferor Company.b. 82,32,164 fully paid-up 6.74% Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares of Rs. 10/- (Rupees Ten only) each of the Transferee Company against 60,00,000 fully paid-up 9.25% Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares of Rs. 10/- (Rupees Ten Only) each, held by the shareholders in Transferor Company.(iii) Post amalgamation, the shares of Rane (Madras) Limited would continue to be listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and National Stock Exchange of India Limited;The above proposal is subject to satisfaction of various conditions, including obtaining necessary approvals from the shareholders, creditors and regulatory authorities including Securities-and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), Stock Exchanges under the Listing Agreement, and sanction of the Scheme by the High Court of Judicature at Madras.The Company has issued a copy of the press release being issued in connection with the above proposal.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Rane Madras


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Hindustan Motors signs MoA with Isuzu Motors India

Jun 29, 2013, 09.33 PM IST

Hindustan Motors signs Memorandum of Agreement with Isuzu Motors India Pvt. Ltd. in Chennai today.

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Hindustan Motors signs MoA with Isuzu Motors India

Hindustan Motors signs Memorandum of Agreement with Isuzu Motors India Pvt. Ltd. in Chennai today.

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Hindustan Motors signs MoA with Isuzu Motors India

Hindustan Motors signs Memorandum of Agreement with Isuzu Motors India Pvt. Ltd. in Chennai today.

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Hindustan Motors Ltd has informed BSE regarding a Press Release dated June 28, 2013, titled "Hindustan Motors Ltd Signs Memorandum of Agreement with Isuzu Motors India Pvt. Ltd. in Chennai today".Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Hind Motors

To read the full report click here

From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

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Integrated Technologies sets floor price at Rs 3.25/sh for offer for sale

With reference to the earlier announcement dated June 25, 2013 regarding Notice of Offer for Sale of Shares by Promoter, Rajeev Bali ("the Seller"), the promoter of Integrated Technologies Limited has now informed BSE that the floor price per equity share offered for the sale of Integrated Technologies Ltd shall be Rs. 3.25 (Rupees Three and Twenty Five Paise only).Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Integrated Tech


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Finolex Cables appoints D K Chhabria as executive chairman

Finolex Cables appoints D K Chhabria as executive chairman

Finolex Cables, at its annual general meeting, approved appointment of PP Chhabria as director, D K Chhabria as executive chairman, Mahesh Viswanathan as executive director & chief financial officer with effect from July 1.


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Gold will continue to lose sheen: Sharekhan

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 29 Juni 2013 | 16.03

Sharekhan's report on gold

The price pressure in major economies across the globe is expected to remain subdued due to economic slowdown and depressed consumer spending.

The US dollar is expected to remain strong till the threat of US Fed "Tapering" its QE program persists. The dollar has strengthened across the board after US Federal Reserve's June policy statement which increased the probability of taper. The Indian demand for the yellow metal is expected to fall after the rupee slumped by 7 percent in June against the US dollar. Various curbs implemented by the government of India to reduce the imports of
gold will further add to downside pressure on gold. Unlike in April, this time the physical buying in the yellow metal is subdued despite a sharp decline in the prices as consumers wait for the market to stabilise.

Gold will continue to lose its shine as a safe haven asset amid rout in bond markets and strength in equities. Rising bond yields in major economies like the USA, Japan, the UK, India and Europe would increase the opportunity cost of holding the metal; hence, the spike in bond yields would weigh on gold prices. Moreover, the yellow metal has failed to respond to negative economic news like the downward revision of US 1Q GDP in June to 1.8 percent from previous estimate of 2.4 percent.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



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Why RInfra walked out of Delhi airport metro line project

Moneycontrol Bureau

Reliance Infra -led Delhi Airport Metro Express Pvt Ltd (DAMEPL) has refused to run the showcase 23-kilometres long metro rail line in the national capital from Monday citing financial non-viability.

The firm has also asked the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC) to take over the project.

In 2011. the DMRC had built the civil structure on the line and RInfra was in charge of taking care of operations and maintenance with the concession agreement of 30 years.

A few months after the line came into existence; things went sour between both parties on grounds that DMRC's construction was faulty on the line which claimed a run time of around 18 minutes from New Delhi Railway Station to Terminal 3 of the Indira Gandhi International Airport.

The express line was even shut for a few months in 2012 due to faulty civil construction work. In October, RInfra even  sent a contract termination notice to DMRC which disputed it and the matter is still being sorted out of court.

In the meanwhile, the DMRC rectified civil construction faults related to civil construction and the line resumed operations in January this year.

But RInfra has pulled out of the project since it felt arbitration proceedings or out of court settlement is at a standstill.

However, the DMRC has accused RInfra of violating concession agreement and has also said that the firm should not have walked out at a time when arbitration proceedings with a third party on the issue were already on.
Read This:  RInfra sees 3-fold rise in infra revenue this fiscal




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Expect 6-8% gain in Bank of India SBI: Tulsian

Jun 29, 2013, 02.13 PM IST

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com feels Bank of India and State Bank of India may rally 6-8 percent next week.

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Expect 6-8% gain in Bank of India & SBI: Tulsian

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com feels Bank of India and State Bank of India may rally 6-8 percent next week.

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Expect 6-8% gain in Bank of India & SBI: Tulsian

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com feels Bank of India and State Bank of India may rally 6-8 percent next week.

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SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com told CNBC-TV18, "The kind of correction which we have seen, whether one talks about the large size public sector undertaking (PSU) bank or midsize PSU bank, and that is the reason I have chosen Bank of India and State Bank of India . If one really sees Bank of India , it has corrected from a level of Rs 330 to Rs 230."

"Similar has been the case for State Bank of India from Rs 2200-Rs 2250 to a level of maybe Rs 1950. I think both current levels are ideal and if one keeps a view of one week, one can look for a gain of six to eight percent in both these PSU banks," Tulsian said.


From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

The latest earning numbers FIRST on CNBC-TV18


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Prefer Reliance Industries over ONGC, Oil India: Irani

Jun 29, 2013, 02.19 PM IST

Mehraboon Irani of Nirmal Bang Securities says one may prefer Reliance Industries over Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India.

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Prefer Reliance Industries over ONGC, Oil India: Irani

Mehraboon Irani of Nirmal Bang Securities says one may prefer Reliance Industries over Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India.

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Prefer Reliance Industries over ONGC, Oil India: Irani

Mehraboon Irani of Nirmal Bang Securities says one may prefer Reliance Industries over Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India.

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Mehraboon Irani of Nirmal Bang Securities told CNBC-TV18, " Reliance Industries is our top pick. We prefer Reliance to the public sector companies. The finance minister P Chidambaram had clearly mentioned that he will be considering to provide some sort of benefits for the power companies and fertiliser companies."

He further added, "It is very positive for the entire oil sector, but a subsidy sharing burden for the public sector companies is a big question mark right now and that is why possibly both Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India (OIL) reacted sharply from the highs that they touched on the morning."

He further said, "So for that simple reason we are preferring Reliance Industries. The announcement of gas price hike and a review every quarter are sure indicators that Reliance will move the fastest on this trajectory, which has been created by the oil minister."


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Total exposure to SEBs stands at Rs 8,000-9,000cr: UCO Bank

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 28 Juni 2013 | 16.02

Jun 28, 2013, 02.22 PM IST

Arun Kaul Chairman of UCO Bank does not see any rate cut in near future, says cost of funds still high and total exposure to discom currently stand at Rs 8000-Rs 9000 crore.

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Cost of funds still high; discom exposure Rs 9k cr: UCO Bk

Arun Kaul Chairman of UCO Bank does not see any rate cut in near future, says cost of funds still high and total exposure to discom currently stand at Rs 8000-Rs 9000 crore.

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Cost of funds still high; discom exposure Rs 9k cr: UCO Bk

Arun Kaul Chairman of UCO Bank does not see any rate cut in near future, says cost of funds still high and total exposure to discom currently stand at Rs 8000-Rs 9000 crore.

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State-owned UCO Bank does not expect Reserve Bank of India to cut rates in near future. On transmission of previous rate cuts, Arun Kaul Chairman of UCO Bank said that the cost of funds for the bank still remains high not allowing it to cut lending rates.

At a time when banks are facing lower credit growth, cut in lending rates would be much desired observed Kaul. However until deposits rates come down banks will not be able to provide cut in lending rates, Kaul said.

UCO bank's total exposure to discom or state electricity boards is nearly Rs 8000-Rs 9000 crore, where as exposure to four states- Hariyana, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu and Madhya Pradesh which recently signed a bailout package with the government stands at Rs 6500-Rs 7000 cr, Kaul said. He does not see any immediate impact of the bail out package on the bank's profit and loss account.  

Kaul expect rupee to recover and fall below 60 against dollar in next few days.


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From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

The latest earning numbers FIRST on CNBC-TV18


16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Expect base metals to trade firm: Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang's report on base metals

Industrial metals prices steadied yesterday after declining in the previous session, as worries over China's credit crunch eased and on expectations that the U.S. and EU central banks will not rush to reduce their stimulus programmes.

South Korea bought 4,000 tonnes of aluminium for November arrival via tenders closed on Thursday, the state-run Public Procurement Service said on its website

Japan's steel exporters could benefit from Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's aggressive economic reforms at the expense of U.S. competitors that specialize in the same high-end products.

Henry Bath has asked the London Metal Exchange (LME) to delist about of fifth of its warehouses worldwide as it slims down its network, according to sources in the sector.

Yukon Zinc announced Thursday it is laying off workers and cutting production at its Wolverine Mine due to falling zinc and silver prices.

THE mining subsidiary of Marcventures Holdings Inc. expects to increase shipments of wet metric tons (WMT) of nickel ore in the first half of the year by more than three times the previous year's level.

Fundamental outlook: Industrial metals prices are trading little changed on international bourses. We expect metals prices to trade firm on account of bargain hunting at lower levels.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



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Govt to reimburse Rs 719cr to CCI for buying cotton at MSP

The government today decided to reimburse Rs 719.41 crore to the Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) for losses incurred while buying the fibre at minimum  support price operations in the cotton season 2012-13.

Also read: ONGC, Oil India, RIL up after CCEA approves gas price hike

The decision regarding this was taken by the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) yesterday. "CCEA today approved reimbursement of losses amounting to Rs 719.41 crore to the CCI on Minimum Support Price (MSP) operations in the cotton season 2012-13," an official
statement said.

It said that CCI would be conducting domestic and export sales and the apportionment of these sales would be decided by an inter-ministerial committee consisting of representatives of the Ministries of Agriculture, Commerce, Textiles and the Department of Revenue, to strike an appropriate balance between interests of domestic users and producers.

The government under the Price Support System for the cotton season 2012-13 fixed the MSP for Long Staple and Medium Staple varieties of raw cotton at Rs 3,900 per quintal and Rs
3,600/per quintal, respectively.

"This led to a hike in MSP price of 29 per cent and 18 per cent, respectively, over the previous year," it said. Cotton prices in Andhra Pradesh touched MSP prices in October 2012 and procurement under MSP operations commenced in the districts of Warangal, Guntur and Adilabad.

The CCI procured 22.65 lakh bales of seed kapas under price stabilisation operations from October 2012 to February 2013 at a total cost of Rs 5,807.95 crore. "The CCI has successfully stabilised prices in Andhra Pradesh and avoided farmer distress with timely payments.

Cotton prices then crossed MSP prices in March 2013 in Andhra Pradesh," it added.



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'Terminator' film franchise gets trilogy reboot

The popular "Terminator" film franchise will be resurrected in a new stand-alone trilogy, with the first installment slated to open in theaters on June 26, 2015, Hollywood studio Paramount Pictures said on Thursday.

The "Terminator" franchise about an assassin cyborg portrayed by Arnold Schwarzenegger has grossed more than USD 1 billion over three films since it debuted in 1984.

Also Read: Expect continued momentum in Zee Entertainment: Sukhani

It is unknown if Schwarzenegger, 65, will reprise his most famous role.

A fourth film in the franchise, "Terminator Salvation," was released in 2009 without the former body builder, who was the governor of California at the time.

The 2015 film will be produced by Annapurna Pictures, which also produced 2013's Oscar nominee "Zero Dark Thirty," and Skydance Productions.

Paramount is a subsidiary of Viacom Inc.



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Mobile Threats Continue Rampant Growth As Attackers Become More Entrepreneurial

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 26 Juni 2013 | 16.03

Juniper Networks, the network innovation service provider, has released its third annual Mobile Threats Report showing the rapid growth and evolution of mobile malware into a profitable business for attackers. From March 2012 through March 2013, the Juniper Networks Mobile Threat Center (MTC) – the only threat center in the world devoted exclusively to mobile security research – found mobile malware threats growing at an exponential rate of 614 percent to 276,259 total malicious apps, demonstrating an exponentially higher cyber-criminal interest in exploiting mobile devices. Additionally, it is clear from developments in the threat landscape that malware writers are increasingly behaving like profit-motivated businesses when designing new attacks and malware distribution strategies. Attackers are maximising their return on investment by focusing 92 percent of all MTC detected threats at Android, which has a commanding share of the global smartphone market. According to analyst firm Canalys, Android devices accounted for 67.7 percent of all smartphones shipped in 2012 and is projected to ship more than 1 billion smartphones in 2017. Attackers are also leveraging loosely regulated third-party app marketplaces to distribute malware and more quickly get threats on the market.

Click here for full story


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Nifty choppy despite European markets extend 1% gains

14:22

Moneycontrol Bureau
Live Market Commentary

Equity benchmarks remained flat to positive amid choppy trade, despite the rally seen in European markets. France's CAC and Germany's DAX gained more than 1.2 percent while Britain's FTSE rose nearly one percent after a better-than-expected economic reports from US and Germany.

The BSE Sensex is up 23.00 points at 18652.15, and the Nifty is up 10.40 points at 5619.50 ahead of June expiry.

Shares of TCS and Hero Motocorp topped the buying list, rising more than 2.5 percent followed by state-owned NTPC and GAIL with 2.3 percent gains.

Index heavyweights ITC and Reliance Industries rose by 1.5 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively.

However, commercial vehicle major Tata Motors plunged 3 percent and utility vehicle maker Mahindra & Mahindra lost 3.5 percent.



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P Lilladher says worst of macros behind us; lists top buys

The worst for the Indian macros is over, says Sandip Sabharwal of Prabhudas Lilladher, citing falling gold and crude prices.

"I would believe that the downside risk from the current levels should be limited but the upside also does not seem to be very huge given the fact that on the ground activity in the economy still remains subdued," he told CNBC-TV18 in an interview.

Meanwhile, defensives continue to outperform, despite the fact that the valuation differential between defensives and the rest of the market has kept on increasing.

"Frankly, alpha generation at this point largely depends on the cash position one takes than what stock one is buying at this point of time," Sabharwal says.

Below is the edited transcript of his interwier with CNBC-TV18:

Q: What is the sense you are getting of the market it is a breather, you will brace yourself for more falls?

A: We had a significant sell-off which has been led largely by global events. I think that was the biggest risk for emerging markets that developed markets have been moving up and emerging markets are underperforming. So, a fall would always lead to a continued fall in emerging markets. That is something which we have seen today.

However, all said, specifically looking from the Indian context, the worst of the macros are behind us now. If one sees gold prices, they are down 25 percent from the beginning of this year. We have seen crude being subdued given Chinese concerns and lot of consumption concerns globally. Given the dynamics of the crude market combined with the fact that we have a moderate leadership in Iran now. We could see the geo-political risk reduce we should be positive. The monsoons have been normal and are continuing to be strong all over the country.

Taking all the macro aspects into account as well as what has happened in the recent past, I would believe that the downside risk from the current levels should be limited but the upside also does not seem to be very huge given the fact that on the ground activity in the economy still remains subdued. To that extent we could see the market bottom move up and then remain in a range till we get some more clarity on the direction in which the economy is going.

Also Read: Adulterated drugs: SC dismisses PIL against Ranbaxy

Q: How does one generate alpha or returns when the market is moving in a trading range- which stocks would you bet on to generate that extra money?

A: The market becomes very tough in this kind of scenario because typically whatever is the logic and going by the logic whatever stocks get bought in terms of what might look cheap given the fact that maybe inflation is peaking out, maybe the growth recovery should happen going forward. But that really does not happen so, largely what we have seen is that defensives have continued to outperform despite the fact that the valuation differential between defensives and the rest of the market has kept on increasing.

At some point of time, it obviously does reverse but at what point of time it is very difficult (to say). Frankly, alpha generation at this point largely depends on the cash position one takes than what stock one is buying at this point of time.

Q: How have you tackled the rupee depreciation and its impact on your stock picking because of the higher value of dollars some products will get a natural protection from imports. Exporters should logically do well and those with dollar debt will look worse. How are your buys or sells influenced by this 10 percent depreciation?

A: Clearly the two sectors which benefit out of the rupee fall are technology and pharmaceuticals because most of the large pharma companies today get a majority of their earnings from exports.



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Between KYC, Aadhaar and CMS, India will be a police state

R Jagannathan
Firstpost.com

What is the main purpose of issuing citizens a passport? The idea, as the name suggests, is to enable a you and me to pass through another country's port. It helps identify one as a citizen of a country, so that other countries know where you or I belong. The passport is one country's guarantee to another that it is responsible for the person carrying the document.

But surprise! Thanks to stringent identity checks everywhere, the soft police state that India has become is forcing many citizens to carry their passports around to get into domestic airports, buy gold or start a bank account. From being an external validation document, the passport has become a domestic ID document.

What is the purpose of issuing taxpayers a PAN card? The idea is to give them a unique number so that their transactions can be matched, mapped and checked through backend software for potential tax evasion. But in India, the PAN card now travels in wallets, jostling for space with cash, credit cards and driving licences.

The PAN card has also become a primary identity confirmer. It is an essential requirement for opening bank accounts, or doing any kind of high-value financial transaction, but its largest role is about establishing identity. And getting it in future will become harder, Business Standard assures us.

What is the purpose of the Aadhaar card? It is proof of identity and residence — not citizenship. The Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) collects the biometrics of individuals residing in India—iris prints, fingerprints, demographic details, etc.—and issues you a unique number with which you can be identified anywhere and for validating any transaction. It is the ultimate weapon a police state can possess and currently the Aadhaar card operates under no law, and has no legislation to protect the privacy of your data.

It is a rogue element in the pack.

But Aadhaar has become more or less mandatory without any law backing it since every other purpose—from obtaining PAN cards to starting demat accounts—can be served by seeding it with an Aadhaar number. It is a matter of time before every government department—from the provident fund office to banks to employment agencies to mutual fund registrars—will be demanding it. Aadhaar is voluntary, the UIDAI site assures us, but try arguing with your bank document-checker or the counter-girl at your mobile service provider. They don't know that.

So what is one driving at? Four issues primarily.

One, Aadhaar is based on a very long list of documentary proofs from credit card statements to letters of introduction from companies and educational institutions to even letters from MPs and MLAs, many of them possibly with criminal records. A thug can thus validate you Aadhaar form. And it has become the primary document for everybody and it does not matter if you are not a citizen.

If you have an Aadhaar, you can get every other kind of document waived. It will become an entry point to legitimacy for every illegal migrant into India, or even crooks, even while it offers no legal protection to citizens who share their biometric data with the UIDAI.

Two, if Aadhaar becomes the primary number linking you to every possible transaction—from passports to bank withdrawals to tax returns to everything—it is like putting all your faith in the bureaucracy to protect you. In the wrong hands, Aadhaar details will compromise all citizen security. Anyone unscrupulous enough to be able to access your biometric data can use it to clean out your bank account or even blackmail you. Aadhaar cannot be trusted till the law starts guaranteeing you your privacy and also provides clear safeguards against misuse.

Three, the whole business of KYC—know your customer—has now become a traumatic process for all citizens. If every single service you need from the state, private institutions (banks, mobile companies) or from anybody (civic authorities, gold jewellers, car retailers, or anyone seeking to sell anything above a certain value to you) needs a KYC, we are not only heading towards a police state, but also creating a new licence-permit raj with huge costs being loaded on to citizens without any corresponding benefits.

Four, the Centre is already arming itself with the capability to track every call, read every email of yours through an innocuously-named Central Monitoring System (CMS) .� Add the Aadhaar linkage, and it basically can map all your relationships and implicate you for someone else's links to you even if its one way. If some terrorist sent you a spam mail, you could be linked. Big brother is developing huge capabilities to reduce citizens to ciphers.

We need to ask ourselves the following questions:

1)�� Does all this documentation and intrusion into private domains enhance our security one bit? Can we be certain that this sacrifice of privacy and addition of costs will prevent the next terror attack? There is no evidence of that.

2)� Do these KYC checks give us any kind of guarantee that our bank accounts won't be hacked or that our phones won't be bugged? For example, a bank account statement can help you validate a mobile service KYC. But should your mobile company have details of your bank records? Should he know how much money you hold in your bank account?

3)� Who is accountable if information is leaked from the system? We know how the Niira Radia tapes were leaked, and even Ratan Tata's privacy could not be protected by the state or its officers. Then what about us?

4)� As citizens of a democratic country, do we need to be burdened with so many checks and counter checks? Have we compromised our freedom for minimal gains in security?

5)� How do we know the Aadhaar process is so safe when dogs, trees and chairs have been issued these numbers ?

It is time to junk the whole nonsense of KYC as it is completely counter-productive . It is also time to question Aadhaar and its credentials. It should be scrapped if it does not guarantee citizen privacy with clear accountability established in case it is compromised.

What we need is a people-based system of identity and authentication where individuals can be authenticated by other individuals apart from documentation. Banks, mobile companies and other agencies should be asked to evolve their own system of verification instead of being forced to conform to government guidelines.

We all know how KYC norms were simply abandoned in the case of the CobraPost sting operations involving banks. When big money is at stake, KYC goes out of the window. KYC and harassment is only for lesser mortals.

The writer is editor-in-chief, digital and publishing, Network18 Group



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BSE Sensex surges 230 pts; ONGC up 5% on Mozambique deal

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 25 Juni 2013 | 16.02

Jun 25, 2013, 02.23 PM IST

It is a big recovery for the market as the Nifty bounces back to 5650 led by commodities and rate sensitives. The Sensex surges 226.59 points to 187676.48 while the Nifty is up 67.30 points at 5657.55.

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BSE Sensex surges 230 pts; ONGC up 5% on Mozambique deal

It is a big recovery for the market as the Nifty bounces back to 5650 led by commodities and rate sensitives. The Sensex surges 226.59 points to 187676.48 while the Nifty is up 67.30 points at 5657.55.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

BSE Sensex surges 230 pts; ONGC up 5% on Mozambique deal

It is a big recovery for the market as the Nifty bounces back to 5650 led by commodities and rate sensitives. The Sensex surges 226.59 points to 187676.48 while the Nifty is up 67.30 points at 5657.55.

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14:23

Moneycontrol Bureau
Live Market Commentary 

It is a big recovery for the market as the Nifty bounces back to 5650 led by commodities and rate sensitives. The Sensex surges 226.59 points to 187676.48 while the Nifty is up 67.30 points at 5657.55.

The midcap index too flattens out. Punj Lloyd and Shree Renuka gain 5 percent each even as names like IRB and Karnataka Bank crack

Meanwhile, it looks like a done deal, Oil India and OVL have agreed to buy Videocon's 10 percent stake in Mozambique's gas field in a deal worth USD 2.50 billion. Oil India tells CNBC-TV18 that the deal will be funded through dollar debt.


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Short Jaiprakash Power, IVRCL, Crompton Greaves: Tulsian

Jun 25, 2013, 02.24 PM IST

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com advises selling Jaiprakash Power, Opto Circuit, IVRCL and Crompton Greaves.

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Short Jaiprakash Power, IVRCL, Crompton Greaves: Tulsian

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com advises selling Jaiprakash Power, Opto Circuit, IVRCL and Crompton Greaves.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Short Jaiprakash Power, IVRCL, Crompton Greaves: Tulsian

SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com advises selling Jaiprakash Power, Opto Circuit, IVRCL and Crompton Greaves.

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In CNBC-TV18's popular show Bull's Eye, SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com shares his trading strategies for the day.

One can sell Jaiprakash Power with a day target of Rs 16.50 and stop loss of Rs 18. Its 400 megawatt hydro power project in Uttarakhand has suspended operations and it is unlikely to catch the season which generally runs up to September-October. And that will hamper the profitability to a great extent. Hence, the negative view on the stock is likely to continue in the near-term and hence a sell call.

One can sell Opto Circuits with a day target of Rs 17.50 and stop loss of Rs 19.30. The stock has been languishing for whole of its series and even now at the lower level we have been seeing the delivery based selling continuing in the stock. And that is likely to have the negative effect because no short covering is likely to be seen by the expiry and hence a negative call.

One can sell IVRCL with a day target of Rs 12.50 and stop loss of Rs 14. All infrastructure stocks are nowadays out of fancy and this company having high debt because of which there is an annual interest burden of Rs 750 crore. And shrinking margins are seen as big concern for the stock and weak trend is likely to continue till expiry and hence a sell call.

One can sell Crompton Greaves with a day target of Rs 70 and stop loss of Rs 76. This stock is looking weakest amongst the capital good stocks. And Q1 working of the company is likely to be very poor because of the dismal performance expected from its overseas subsidiary and hence a sell call.


From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

The latest earning numbers FIRST on CNBC-TV18


16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Videocon divests Mozambique Offshore Asset

Jun 25, 2013, 02.26 PM IST

Videocon Industries has informed that on June 25, 2013 the company has divests its Mozambique Offshore Asset.

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Videocon divests Mozambique Offshore Asset

Videocon Industries has informed that on June 25, 2013 the company has divests its Mozambique Offshore Asset.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Videocon divests Mozambique Offshore Asset

Videocon Industries has informed that on June 25, 2013 the company has divests its Mozambique Offshore Asset.

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From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

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Sell IndusInd Bank, says Sukhani

Jun 25, 2013, 02.27 PM IST

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com feels that IndusInd Bank is an excellent short selling opportunity if the market becomes choppy.

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Sell IndusInd Bank, says Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com feels that IndusInd Bank is an excellent short selling opportunity if the market becomes choppy.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Sell IndusInd Bank, says Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com feels that IndusInd Bank is an excellent short selling opportunity if the market becomes choppy.

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Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com told CNBC-TV18, " IndusInd Bank is making new lows regularly. The stock is now in a narrow range so one has to take some context because IndusInd won't give up easily. But I suspect it is going through a distribution and will eventually come much lower."

"However, if the market becomes choppy, IndusInd Bank is an excellent short selling opportunity. The narrow range is going to lead to a big decline, if not today then tomorrow," Sukhani said.

Also Read: Spotlight now on companies where FIIs raised stake recently


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16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Supertex Industries: Appointment of company secretary

Written By Unknown on Senin, 24 Juni 2013 | 16.02

Jun 24, 2013, 02.19 PM IST

Supertex Industries has informed that Ms. Lavina Salian L. has resigned from the post of Company Secretary with effect from May 13, 2013, further, Mr. Swapnil Dafle has been appointed as Company Secretary w.e.f. May 14, 2013.

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Supertex Industries: Appointment of company secretary

Supertex Industries has informed that Ms. Lavina Salian L. has resigned from the post of Company Secretary with effect from May 13, 2013, further, Mr. Swapnil Dafle has been appointed as Company Secretary w.e.f. May 14, 2013.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Supertex Industries: Appointment of company secretary

Supertex Industries has informed that Ms. Lavina Salian L. has resigned from the post of Company Secretary with effect from May 13, 2013, further, Mr. Swapnil Dafle has been appointed as Company Secretary w.e.f. May 14, 2013.

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Supertex Industries Ltd has informed BSE that Ms. Lavina Salian L. has resigned from the post of Company Secretary with effect from May 13, 2013.Further, Mr. Swapnil Dafle has been appointed as Company Secretary w.e.f. May 14, 2013.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Supertex Ind

From DJ EU Officials Spain Aid Cap Of 100 Bn Euros 'should Be Enough'

The latest earning numbers FIRST on CNBC-TV18


16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

South Africans resigned over 'critical' Mandela

South Africans appeared resigned on Monday to the inevitability of one day saying goodbye to former president Nelson Mandela after the 94-year-old anti-apartheid leader's condition in hospital deteriorated to critical.

Madiba, as he is affectionately known, is revered among most of South Africa's 53 million people as the architect of the peaceful 1994 transition to multi-racial democracy after three centuries of white domination.

Also Read:  M andela's health worsens, condition now 'critical'

However, with his latest hospitalisation - his fourth in six months - a realisation has set in that he will not be around for ever.

His deterioration this weekend, two weeks after being admitted in a serious but stable condition with a lung infection, has caused a perceptible switch in mood from prayers for recovery to preparations for a fond farewell.

"If it's his time to go, he can go. I wish God can look after him," said nurse Petunia Mafuyeka, as she headed to work in Johannesburg.

"We will miss him very much. He fought for us to give us freedom. We will remember him every day. When he goes I will cry."

In a statement, President Jacob Zuma's office urged South Africa and the world to pray for Mandela "during this difficult time". But there was some concern among the public about doctors trying to prolong the life of one of the 20th century's most influential figures.

"I'm worried that they're keeping him alive. I feel they should let him go," said Doris Lekalakala, a claims manager. "The man is old. Let nature take its course. He must just rest."

Since stepping down in 1999 after one term as president, Mandela has stayed out of active politics in the continent's biggest and most important economy and his passing is expected to have little political impact.

His last public appearance was waving to fans from the back of a golf cart before the final of the soccer World Cup in Johannesburg's Soccer City stadium in July 2010.

During his retirement, he has divided his time between his home in the wealthy Johannesburg suburb of Houghton, and Qunu, the village in the impoverished Eastern Cape province where he was born.

The public's last glimpse of him was a brief clip aired by state television in April during a visit to his home by Zuma and other senior officials of the ruling African National Congress.

At the time, the 101-year-old liberation movement, which led the fight against white-minority rule, assured the public Mandela was "in good shape", although the footage showed a thin and frail old man sitting expressionless in an armchair.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

BSE Sensex falls 300 pts, Europe extends losses

14:22

Moneycontrol Bureau
Live Market Commentary

The fall in equity benchmarks extended on weakness in global markets. European markets are under pressure as mining stocks tumbled after liquidity fears in China pushed Shanghai Composite 5.3 percent down.

France's CAC and Germany's DAX lost over 1 percent while Britain's FTSE declined 0.7 percent.

The BSE Sensex is down 288.46 points or 1.54 percent at 18485.78, and the Nifty is down 97 points or 1.71 percent at 5570.65.

More than three shares declined for every share advancing on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Shares of L&T, ONGC , ITC and BHEL plunged 3 percent while State Bank of India , Bharti Airtel and Hero MotoCorp lost 2.5 percent each.

Kotak Mahindra Bank , Cairn India , Ranbaxy Labs and DLF are biggest losers among Nifty 50 stocks, falling 4.5-7 percent.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services slipped 5 percent, after the company said it would not apply for banking license under current RBI guidelines.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

J P Morgan rates DLF a 'buy', keeps target at Rs 300

Moneycontrol Bureau

Passing through a rough weather real estate major DLF , finally has some reasons to cheer and so are its shareholders. Following an analyst call with the company management, the international brokerage firm - J P Morgan has given an "overweight (buy)" call on the stock setting a target price of Rs 300 from the current level.

"Following a period of restriction, we are moving DLF from 'Not Rated' designation to an OW recommendation and Mar-14 PT of Rs300/share. Over the last 3 months, we note that progress on two of the most sensitive business parameters has been positive i.e. Debt reduction and successful sell out in launch of luxury phase 5 project," Saurabh Kumar and Gunjan Prithyani, two research analysts from J P Morgan (Asia Pacific Equity Research) said in a research note.

India's largest real estate developer, reported its first ever quarterly net loss of around Rs 4.2 crore during the January-March quarter, driven by slowing home sales. Moreover, the company ran into trouble when the capital market regulator Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) was directed by the Delhi High Court to carry out an investigation into the quality of disclosure made by DLF at the time of its initial public offer (IPO) in 2007.

"Recent stay order on Crest construction in our view whilst worrying has knocked off more than the entire cash flow of the project and reduced valuation on Aman resorts to zero. This in our view presents an upside and a favorable risk reward opportunity. Near term stock catalyst will be progress on Aman closure, launch of Camellia (strong soft sale demand) and any resolution on stay order of Crest," they said.

Here's what the report said:

Crest sold out... but stay order will need to be resolved- Crest launched in May received a strong demand with co selling out 0.85 msf at approx Rs 17K psf. However, in an ex parte order the high court has recently stayed construction pending clarity on project FSI. Given the onset of monsoons construction work would have been subdued and we note that the co. has 3- 4 months to clarify its position (Next hearing slated for Jul-13).

Net Debt target of Rs 170B by F14 - Post recent issuance DLF's net debt has come down to cRs 200B (Mar-Q Rs 217B). Target net debt for Mar-14 is Rs 170B contingent on mostly concluded asset sales of Rs 28B. Of this Aman (Rs 16B) has been delayed over the last 4 months given the buyer (MBO transaction) has not yet raised financing. Current expectation is for closure till June-13 else the asset chain may be re sold to other parties.

Headline earnings to disappoint given roll down of old projects and shift to new revenue recognition policy. DLF's Q4 earnings disappointed given a shift to new revenue recognition policy (25% completion & sales). As we had noted in Q3 analyst meet, earnings will likely be subdued for 4-6 Qs till new project launches start reaching revenue recognition thresholds (Camellia is possibly the only exception). Operating cash (cash EBITDA) generation was Rs 36B for F13 vs. Rs42B in F12.

Operating cash flow - Guidance for breakeven in F14 and return to positive territory in F15: On a cash flow basis, the Q was business as usual with negative cash flow of Rs 3B (last few Qs run rate) given land /rent capex. Guidance is for breakeven in F14 and return to positive territory in F15. As of now we are modeling in net negative CFO (ex asset sales, equity raise) in F14.

Steady state EBITDA to double in 3 years

DLF re-iterated its target to double EBITDA in the next 3 years. The co is guiding to Rs 80B+ of cash EBITDA on steady state basis with Rs55B coming from Dev co and Rs27B from Rent co. The growth would essentially be driven by:

a) New launches in Phase 5 Gurgaon. Overall co is looking at 1.5msf pa of luxury sales from Phase 5 Gurgaon; while contribution from other markets would largely be stable at current levels. For New Gurgaon, co is looking at 3msf of pre-sales and additional 3msf from rest of India.

b) Growth in rental income to Rs27.5 in next 3 years from ~Rs18B currently. This will essentially be driven by new completions (primarily 1.8msf mall of Noida), rent escalations (15% pa in 3 years) and incremental leasing run rate of 1.5msf pa (5msf in 3 years)



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

More pain in store for most assets; sit on cash: Udayan

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 22 Juni 2013 | 16.02

The current correction seen in the Indian equity market is not due to domestic reasons but widespread negative sentiment globally believes Udayan Mukherjee, managing editor, CNBC-TV18.

Mujherjee says global adjustments have just started in all markets after Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank will taper monetary easing worth USD 85 billion by the end of the year. He says no one has an inkling on what the implications of this move maybe and unwinding of trades have now put a lot of pressure on global bond markets, emerging markets and their currencies. 

Additionally, Mukherjee believes retail investors have no asset class that is likely to post good returns and that one should stay out of the market until the global markets see some stability.  After the hammering seen in bond market and gold, he says investing in these asset classes too will not prevent an erosion of capital .

"So what do you do? You just can't say with 9.5 percent inflation in the cities that you will just be in fixed deposits. Post tax, what are you left with in terms of fixed deposit. You are not covering inflation. So, the one call one you can take is - as long as this global volatility continues, you want to preserve your capital," adds Mukherjee in an interview to CNBC-TV18.

Below is the edited transcript of Mukherjee's interview to CNBC-TV18.

Major global adjustments are taking place and they may have started this week. So this week should not be treated as any other bad week in the market. Everybody is trying to figure out what the ramifications of what happened this week globally could be? Nobody has a precise answer.

Some are closer to the truth than others but I don't think anybody can put a finger on what kind of exact global financial adjustment is required over the next few months because this is a very complex thing.

We can talk about what is going to happen, but essentially what is happening is that a lot of trades which have been on in the global financial space over the last three-six months are beginning to unwind. It is not that we simplify it by saying people are taking dimmer view of emerging markets because of growth or valuations, currency movements or whatever reason.

The truth is that what is happening right now is also very technical in nature which is the connection between the US bond yield and the trades which were happening globally- the leverage trades. It is complicated financial science.

Whether you can argue of what Ben Bernanke said should not deserve such a big reaction as a lot of people have noted over the last couple of days but I think what's happening is that a lot of trades have begun unwinding and that is putting a lot of pressure on global bond markets, most emerging bond markets have lost a lot of money that has put an enormous amount of pressure on most emerging market (EM) currencies.

This is not about India at all. In the past many falls and many weeks have to do with Indian current account deficit, Indian policy, Indian earnings but this week has been very global and nobody has been spared. Hence, it is very difficult to come to a conclusion on when this global adjustment would come to an end in terms of capital flows, when the pain therefore will stop and when one can come out and catch this falling knife.

I think this is more complicated than just going out and saying L&T had bad earnings, stock fell 5 percent and now is the time to go out and buy it. It is something which we understand very little of.

On asset classes and stocks

Investors' problem now is what is to be done with their money right now. It's a legitimate question to ask. At different points, when equities were doing badly, one could have thought of alternatives.

Fixed income had a great run in the last 18 months but look at what's going on in the bond market right now. In the last few days yields have moved up, one would be very uncomfortable as a bond market investor over the last few days. Look at gold - that has got whacked once again. One can't take a nationwide call on real estate as different pockets perform differently.

So what do you do? You just can't say with 9.5 percent inflation in the cities that you will just be in fixed deposits. Post tax, what are you left with in terms of fixed deposit. You are not covering inflation.

It's a difficult time for most domestic savers. For now, they have given equities the pass and they have been able to do quite well if they had stayed in fixed income and gold has done well as we all know till three months back. However, right now we are entering a phase where if one hides in the same places- gold and fixed income, bonds or fixed deposits, then one is going to erode capital over the next few years. The one call one you can take is - as long as this global volatility continues, you want to preserve your capital.

It does not matter whether you get 2 percent less than inflation. So, you take a notional call that my Rs 100 at the end of the one year will be worth Rs 98. But look, most of your capital is protected. You will not be in a situation where your Rs 100 has gone down to Rs 80. So, everybody is in a bit of a tizzy right now. When these things play out, people flock towards capital preservation more than anything else.

I think people will still be leery of equities but I am sure we will talk about it in the next few minutes. For the first time, I actually was waiting for this to happen because you just could not construct a scenario of a bull market without global markets getting whacked once because of this liquidity adjustment. This was an event which was always going to happen. Whether it happens now or it happened in January or it happens in June next year. One could see that this roadblock was coming. Now, when such things happen, you want it to happen sooner rather than getting dragged on knowing full well that it would happen at some point in future. So, I am going to put a positive spin on this today and say that what is happening this week may just go on to inflict a lot of pain on most asset classes over the next few weeks is actually a good thing for people sitting on cash because there is now way you could have wished away this adjustment in the future.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Golden ratings era ending for emerging markets

A decade of improvement in emerging market credit ratings is coming to an end as higher borrowing costs and commodity price falls threaten to lay bare many countries' failure to reform during the good times.

Also Read: Rupee rises 0.50% to close at 59.27/USD on Essar fund flows

Between 2007 and 2012 emerging economies earned almost 200 rating upgrades from the three main agencies, nearly half of them were promoted to the top 'investment grade' category.

Given the weight investors still assign to credit ratings, that was a huge driver for much of the USD 8 trillion or so that has flowed to emerging stock and bond markets since 2004.

But this week has brought confirmation of two things, both with profound implications for the developing world. First, US money-printing won't last for ever and may end in 2014. Second, China's economy is indeed cooling, and fast.

These factors made recent years good ones for emerging markets. Rock-bottom US interest rates and a resurgent China stoked commodity demand, bringing an exports bonanza, fast economic growth and a chance to borrow at record low yields.

Signs of a reversal sparked a worldwide sell-off in emerging markets this week, with over USD 6 billion fleeing the sector.

That the golden years might be ending was made clear recently when Brazil, one of the main beneficiaries of China's rise and the easy money tide, saw its outlook cut to negative by Standard & Poor's, putting it in line for a downgrade.

Moody's has since warned it might also cut Brazil's rating outlook because of weak growth, rising debt and lack of reform.

Those worries apply to a number of developing countries, says Sébastien Barbé, head of emerging markets strategy at Credit Agricole, who does not expect any significant rises in average emerging market ratings soon.

"We have turned the page," Barbé said. "In the past decade two factors were driving ratings. One was positive - better management, political stability and the rise of the middle class. The other was artificial, coming from excessive spending in developed countries and excessive savings in Asia."

These imbalances added on average 1.5 percentage points a year to emerging markets' growth, he estimates.

"Now that period has ended and it won't come back. EM must change its business model, China has to invest less and consume more, Brazil has to consume less and save more ... All this is going to be very hard to do," Barbé added.

Data reflects the change in ratings momentum. Fitch, for example, upped six emerging sovereigns last year, versus 18 and 13 upgrades respectively in 2011 and 2010. Negative outlooks are now twice as common as positive, a sea change from late 2011.

The picture is similar for S&P, which upgraded 10 emerging ratings in 2012 versus 19 in 2011. So far this year it has raised four emerging market sovereigns while cutting seven.

The Fed and China have crystalised existing worries over slower growth and weaker balance sheets, which as Brazil and Turkey show, can lead to a rise in political risk.

Of the giant BRICS economies, India is in danger of losing its investment grade rating. South Africa also faces a downgrade while China saw its local debt rating cut this year.

Marie Cavanaugh, S&P's managing director for sovereign ratings, said successful reforms in many Latin American and Asian countries had put them on a stronger footing. Some, such as Mexico, are actually now embracing long-delayed reform.

But the backdrop is changing, Cavanaugh warned: "Many emerging markets are dealing with shifts in cross-border capital flows and the challenges of economic rebalancing."

Reforms

Big changes have occurred in emerging markets since the turn of the century that should mean they are more robust than in the crisis years of the late 1990s. These include the free float of many currencies, healthy public debt ratios, and trillions of dollars in central bank vaults.

J.P. Morgan notes that almost two-thirds of countries included its flagship emerging bond index, the EMBI Global, are now rated investment-grade, compared with just 2 percent when the index was launched in 1993.

Yet, after an initial reform spurt, relatively few countries have used the good times to improve infrastructure, labour markets and tax collection, or reduce reliance on commmodities.

David Hauner, head of EEMEA fixed income strategy at BofA-Merrill Lynch Global Research, says the 30 commodity exporters he tracks enjoyed a quadrupling of terms of trade since 2012.

But widely used indices measuring corruption or ease of business show only a third have adopted any meaningful reform.

"Commodity prices explain a good part of the improvement in these countries' current account and fiscal balances," he said.

As the tide of easy money ebbs, the high-spending growth model will become unfeasible for many. Hauner uses Russia as an example, noting the budget deficit excluding oil now equates to 10 percent of economic output - double its 2007 level.

The average EM current account balance stands at under 1 percent, a third of pre-crisis levels, Morgan Stanley says.

"You have to ask: are interest rates in line with financing needs?" Hauner said. "If they are lower, their policies are not sustainable: they are a gift of (US money printing)."



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

India story has lost sheen; FII flows to taper: UR Bhat

India may have been the biggest growth story in the beginning of last decade after foreign institutional investors flocked Indian markets. However high current account deficit, sharp decline in Indian rupee, contraction of GDP from 9 percent to 5 percent, policy paralysis and many such factors have taken tall on India's shining image.

"India story is not as compelling as was the case probably a few years ago. The risk of stance that is currently on in the developed markets has led to that dramatic outperformance of the developed markets versus emerging markets," observed UR Bhat of Dalton Capital Advisors.

Ben Bernanke's recent comments that US may taper off the quantitative easing by year end would also restrict this easy money from flowing to emerging market.

Also read: Global mkts in selling exhaustion mode; Nifty may fall 3-5%

He expects FII flows to taper going forward as developed markets like US and Europe are likely to bounce back. Given the unprecedented fall in rupee, now Reserve Bank of India is also unlikely to extend any further rate cuts.

"It does not look like as if they (RBI) is in a great mood to cut interest rates anymore and since the last statement the rupee has collapsed. Therefore, there is absolutely no case for forfeiting interest rates anymore," Bhat stressed.

Below is the verbatim transcript of his outlook on the markets: 

All of us expected in the early 90s foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have come to dominate the market. They are the ones who give direction to the market and therefore in a manner of speaking we have become as a nation hostage to those inflows, the market has become hostage to those inflows. As you all know, high trade in current account imbalances have been one of the causes of the foreign institutional investors taking a slightly dim view about how things are panning out here. Of course the precipitous decline in the rupee is something that will make everybody nervous including foreign investors because if you see year-to-date (YTD), foreign investors even after this billion dollar that has gone out over the last couple of weeks have brought in about USD 14 billion in this country and this USD 14 billion has produced a dollar return of something like minus 12-13 percent, which means that we increasingly require more and more foreign institutional investors money for the market to even stay where it is.

So I think declining rupee is one thing that can shake the confidence of big investors and that is probably taking a toll today. The cause of the plunging rupee we have come to a situation where all of us were expecting in fact at least the government was expecting all the time that Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will keep cutting interest rates. With the state of the rupee today, I do not think that looks like a distinct possibility. Therefore there might be further danger for foreign debt investments in India to leave the shores even further because as I said, only just about under 10 percent of money has gone out and these are the consequences.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Mkt to fall another 15-20%; rupee at 63/$ possible: Experts

The global markets had a terrible week with the Dow Jones losing 5 percent, Nikkei 19 percent, Nifty, European markets and emerging markets (EMs) lost 10 percent. The currencies in the EMs like India witnessed a five percent fall.

Industry experts told CNBC-TV18, things are likely to get much worse ahead. Bhanu Baweja, of UBS expects the Sensex and the Nifty to fall another 15-20 percent from the current levels. He anticipates the rupee to touch new lows of 63 or 65/USD levels. Baweja also foresees a ratings downgrade for India given the macro economic meltdown.

Samiran Chakraborty, of Standard Chartered Bank expects India's gross domestic product (GDP) to feel more heat as the crash in the rupee could create a panic in the economy. One should not be surprised to see rupee touching 63/USD plus levels ahead, he added.

However, Richard Gibbs of Macquarie Securities believes that emerging markets will see a revival by November 2013.

Below is the edited transcript of their interview to CNBC-TV18.

Also read: Global mkts in selling exhaustion mode; Nifty may fall 3-5%

Below is the edited transcript of their interview to CNBC-TV18.

Q: There has been a 10 percent evaporation of value across asset classes, bonds, commodities, EMs, developed markets. Is the hype created by liquidity over now? Will the markets now settle down? Will more selling happen across asset classes because probably our estimate of global growth itself has to be lowered?

Baweja: Over the last 10-12 years, there were two major forces in the global economy that underpinned every asset class. One of these was the secular decline in real interest rates in the US; the risk-free rate.

The second was the firm entrenchment of China in the global trade and manufacturing sectors. This, especially post China's privatisation of their property market.

Both these forces underpinned the dollar, the surge for yield, EM equities; every asset class that you can think of.

Both these forces are now at a very mature stage. In fact, US real interest rates are now turning up even before the Fed became hawkish. The 10-year rate in the US, the real rate in the US began to go up. Admittedly, we haven't seen that yet in EMs.

So there is at the margin a slight tightening of monetary conditions in the US. But we have not seen the growth improvement; certainly not in emerging markets. As these 10-year trends mature, a lot of the baggage is going to be compromised.

The bulk of this baggage is in the form of short dollar positions, in commodities that is financing the commodities, bonds and equity market trade in EMs.

The slowdown that we are seeing in EM today is not cyclical. It is a structural slowdown because the deleveraging in the developed world will continue for sometime.

EMs' growth model has effectively been broken because you are not able to export at 25 percent any more. That has been replaced by the domestic credit. That is fine as we managed to survive and keep growth going from positive 5 percent to negative 5 percent.

But, in the process, there has been weaker trade balances, current account balances. The currency has come under pressure. That is the weakest link in EM and is radiating further to other asset classes. Indian equities could be vulnerable from here.

Q: This week's fall was all round; without any discrimination between developed and emerging markets; stocks, bonds or commodities. After this funds will become more discerning. In that second round which asset classes will they favour? What will be the hierarchy of favoured assets?

Gibbs: We can probably see 3-5 percent more decline in overall valuations as asset markets come back to more credible and solidly based valuations. One reaches a point when the liquidations and the capitulation if you like and then those investment funds are then searching for investment and to be redeployed.

The issue for emerging markets is not that they won't be redeployed. They will be. But that will happen in the United States (US) where the growth potential looks like being more attractive and the yield potential from those stocks in particular also looks like being more attractive in the near term than what we are seeing in many emerging markets.

Q: How much fall are you expecting in emerging markets (EM) as an asset class? If discriminated between asset classes, and emerging markets, where will steep falls in equities and currencies be seen?

Baweja: The most vulnerable asset class is at this minute forex and equities. Not so much of Indian debt but EM debt is giving negative returns year-to-date. I would prefer debt over equity or forex even today.

EM has a strong balance sheet relative to the developed world. The debt trade in EM should do reasonably well because EM does have credit worthiness. However for the equities and forex trade to do well good income statements are needed.

EM has very ordinary income statements. Their earnings per share (EPS) growth is lower than EPS growth in the US despite EMs growing at a gross domestic product (GDP) level faster than the US. So, that is not translating the headline GDP growth into better EPS growth.

EMs are not as efficient in terms of their costs as the developed markets are. That is why they can underperform. So, in terms of asset allocation within emerging markets, debt is still a preferred asset class over equities. I certainly feel that way about India.

How much further can we fall from out here? Equities in EMs can certainly go another 10-15 percent more from here. It is not a question of after 15 percent they would be fairly valued.

A positive catalyst for emerging market equities to go up now is needed. Europe hasn't really begun to rebound it has stabilised. The US is indeed rebounding but you have not seen better import numbers in the US.

Q: When do you see EMs re-emerging as attractive asset classes? Will it be by the year end or will it be after another 5 percent of decline? Which of them are likely to look attractive?

Gibbs: We will see some attractiveness come back around November 2013 when a capitulation and redeployment initially into the US of those investment funds happens.

Investors will look for solid domestic demand and where growth would be seen in the corporate sector's earnings and expansion in domestic demand. That obviously places markets like India in very good stead.

India is principally a domestic demand-driven economy. The economies that would be lower down the spectrum will be those that are trade exposed which were production driven and trade oriented.

The reason for that are the reflation policies at work in the global economies such as Japan. That is putting on going pressure on exchange rates. Many of those trade exposed economies particularly in Asia but also in Latin America.

At the bottom of the spectrum now will be a lot of the Latin American economies as they are looking like growth will become less buoyant. There will be some financial issues to be addressed and that is going to raise the risk premium on those markets.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Industrial metals may take support from US economy: N Bang

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 21 Juni 2013 | 16.02

Nirmal Bang's fundamental outlook on industrial metals

Industrial metals prices fell to its lowest level in 20 months, hit by further evidence that the economy of top metals consumer China is slowing down and the US Federal Reserve's stated intention to begin scaling back stimulus measures later this year.

Rio Tinto said its plan to start exporting copper from the USD 6.2 billion Oyu Tolgoi copper mine on Friday has been delayed at the request of the Mongolian government, ahead of a presidential election on June 26.

India's state-controlled National Aluminium Co (NALCO) has sold 6,000 tonnes of aluminium ingots at USD 226 per tonne premium to the average LME cash price on a cost, insurance and freight (CIF) basis, company officials said on Thursday.

Daily average primary aluminium output excluding China fell to 68,100 tonnes in May, against a revised 68,400 tonnes in April, data from the International Aluminium Institute (IAI) showed on Thursday.

Makers of products such as cans and packaging foils face record high aluminium surcharges in the U.S. Midwest as more of the metal gets sucked into backlogged warehouses in Detroit that are registered by the London Metal Exchange (LME).

Ibris Nickel, a nickel miner, and China's Yong-Xing Alloy Materials Technology Taizhou signed a MoU to build a nickle processing facility in North Konawe, South East Sulawesi province. The facility will have the capacity to process up to 8 million tons of nickel and produce 600,000 tons of nickel pig iron a year.

Fundamental Outlook: Industrial metals prices are trading higher on international bourses today. We expect industrial metals prices to take support from improving economic conditions in the US. However, deteriorating manufacturing conditions in China is likely to keep a check on the upside. SHFE warehouse stocks data which is due to be released today afternoon remains a vital indicator.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



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Quick Heal is forging a space for itself in a market

By Shruti Chakraborty

Remember the floppy disk? The behemoth of a desktop with a fat CPU under the monitor? Remember playing Dangerous Dave on MS-DOS? Around then, in 1990, Kailash Katkar, 47, was repairing calculators, ledger posting machines and facet machines in a shop in Pune. The latter two were complicated beasts and in some ways were more troublesome to repair than even computers back then, Katkar remembers.

Katkar has come a long way from then. Today, as CEO, he heads Quick Heal Technologies Pvt. Ltd., a domestic brand in the global field of internet and computer security, which has defied skeptics to become a major player. In 2012-13, the antivirus software provider clocked about Rs. 214 crore in turnover. Katkar does not disclose his bottomline figure, though he says that the company is profitable.

The company started in 1993 with a few annual maintenance contracts from companies for repairing printers and printer heads. Eventually, he was handling similar contracts for computers. "My background in working with the ledger posting machines and facet machines helped me with that," he says. At that time, the Indian IT landscape was one of chaos-as any nascent industry would be. A new day could bring new discoveries as much as it could bring new fires to put out. It was a time for opportunists. Katkar was one of them. As a provider of repairing services, Katkar also looked at this little problem of viruses. "Virus-related problems were very few at that time. In 1993-94 we had about four to five new viruses in a month. Small companies couldn't afford antivirus software. So they expected us to handle that," he says.

The computer lab
Sanjay Katkar, 42, Katkar's younger brother, is now the CTO at Quick Heal. In 1992, Sanjay finished his Bachelors in Computer Science and then completed his Post Graduation studies in the subject in 1994. "Even getting computers for practice was tough at that time. Even if the college computer lab had computers, there was either no electricity or there was a virus and the computers wouldn't work because so many people were using it," Sanjay says.

So Sanjay began to work on the computers that would come to Katkar's shop for repairs. Katkar says "the computers would work fine when Sanjay was at the shop, but would invariably show a problem when he wasn't around. When I asked him about this, he told me that the problem was because of a virus and that he had written a program to get rid of it. But when I inserted an infected floppy, the virus would come back, giving me the problem."

Soon enough, Sanjay began developing tools to tackle the virus-related problems that Katkar would find in computers that came for repair.

The tools he created evolved into Quick Heal's first product which was antivirus software for DOS that hit the market in 1995. "Players like Norton and McAfee were already there in the market back then, but these products were very expensive for Indian customers," points out Sanjay.

Glitches booting up
Sanjay did most of the technical development on his own at that time. "Colleges do not provide any training on security [issues] even now," he says. With no internet access, Sanjay's research was based entirely on actually working on a virus when he found one. Pit that against players like McAfee and Symantec, who had multi-million dollar budgets, and you can understand the position of disadvantage they started from. "Also, these companies were based in the US. When developing an antivirus, you are working with system software. You will face challenges. Companies like McAfee and Symantec could just set up a meeting or call Microsoft and discuss these," Sanjay says. The duo had to rely on e-mails and letters to Microsoft, but never got a response.

Becoming a part of international bodies and associations took time as well. Sanjay is now on the board of directors of the Association of Anti Virus Asia Researchers. He also works with the WildList Organization, which maintains a list of reported viruses from around the world which antivirus companies can prepare against.

"In 1995-96, we needed funds [to grow] but couldn't get a loan from banks or a cash-credit facility because we had nothing to show for stocks," Katkar says, adding that he had to keep his annual maintenance contracts business going until 1999 to fund the antivirus business. In 1996, Katkar says that Quick Heal had revenues of Rs. 10 lakh and profits of Rs. 50,000.

The tide turned with the millennium. From 2000 to 2010, the company's business grew 100 percent year-on-year. The company's growth has since slowed down though. In the last two years, the company has grown at about 35-40 percent and is expecting to grow about 22 percent this year, Katkar says.

Growth globally
In time, Quick Heal has become a major rival to global players in India. According to Katkar, Quick Heal now has 30 percent of the market share in the Indian consumer segment "We had to give value additions to customers in India initially to gain acceptance. Most people don't trust Indian products and many people don't know that Quick Heal is an Indian brand even now," Katkar says.

To gain acceptance in the Indian market, Katkar distributed the products through his friends who were in the computer maintenance business, because customers trusted their maintenance person to suggest them a good antivirus. Also, the first product was introduced for Rs. 500, which was much lower than the products offered by the international players. Another aspect Katkar focussed on was keeping software updates smaller in size, and continues to keep it that way because most people do not have very good internet bandwidth.

Talking about one of their USPs, Katkar says that most antivirus products in the market protect the computer from viruses. "Our product doesn't ask the user to delete an infected file, but instead cleans it to retain his data. In India people don't back up their files, which is a common practice in the US," Katkar says.

Eventually Quick Heal also relied on a strong after sales service by setting up their own branches instead of relying on dealers. "Dealers and distributors couldn't provide the kind of service our own employees, who were trained by us, could," Sanjay explains.

As of date, Quick Heal has three products for consumers and four for enterprises which covers gateway security and endpoint security, based on different platforms. Currently about 65 percent of the company's revenues comes from the consumer segment, while about 30 percent is accounted for by enterprises. The company has sold 10 million licenses so far.

Until 2010, the company was entirely self-funded. In 2010, Sequoia Capital India invested Rs. 60 crore in the company to build its global footprint and expand its product portfolio. Mohit Bhatnagar, Managing Director, Sequoia Capital says that they "invested in Quick Heal because of a strong brand and distribution channel." Quick Heal now also has an office in Japan, besides 23 offices in India, and partners in various other countries including New Zealand and countries in Africa and the Middle East. About five percent of its revenue comes from international operations.

Technology research firm International Data Corporation estimates that the global market for cyber security solutions may grow to
$870 million by 2017 and with the international expansions, at least in theory, Quick Heal looks prepared to cash in its share of the pie.

People and freebies
Sequoia's Bhatnagar points to a key challenge for Quick Heal and its growth plans, which is to continue managing "a large number of security threats as cyber criminals get more sophisticated."

Unfortunately, while cyber criminals are getting smarter, the people expected to combat them are not-at least not by education. One of the biggest challenges for Quick Heal is finding talent. "College education in India is not tuned for product companies since Software-as-a-Service [SaaS] companies are the ones that pay higher salaries-colleges prepare students for that. These students get hired by a Cognizant or Infosys," Sanjay says.

For developing products like theirs, Sanjay says that the students need to be proficient in C and C++ and reverse engineering, but most of today's students are not.

To counter this, the company spends a year training new hires and has now tied up with colleges to create a syllabus that prepares students better to work with Quick Heal. Another challenge for the company is one that is faced by the computer security industry as a whole-the problem of free antivirus software. "This is a big problem in the US and here as well. But such antivirus software is not good enough against security threats that come through the Internet," Sanjay says. But still, these do eat into Quick Heal's market at a time when the drop in computer sales in India too is affecting Quick Heal's market adversely. To counter-balance this, Quick Heal also began offering mobile security solutions in October 2011.  A tablet security software is also in the works-in its beta phase right now, Sanjay says.

In 2011, there was talk of Quick Heal filing for an IPO but the plan was put off for later owing to market conditions. "An IPO may come in the next two to three years," he adds. Till then, as Bhatnagar puts it, Quick Heal needs to stay on course to create market leading products-all else will follow.

25 percent of bot-infected computers in India were located in tier II cities, according to last year's Symantec Internet Security Threat Report XVII

> Entrepreneur India May 2013
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You can send your feedback on smementor@moneycontrol.com or simply post comments below



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Geopolitical premium is probably why oil prices are up

Post the signalling of the end of QE, there has been huge movement in commodity prices, including gold, and currencies as well, says Daniel Morgan, Global Commodity Analyst at UBS.

UBS has turned bearish on gold and has moved to downgrade the yellow metal forecast. In the next 12 months, he is expecting some stabilisation via physical demand, but a continued decline in price can take it towards long-term level of USD 1,100 per ounce, from current below USD 1,300 per ounce.

Daniel Morgan was expecting a weaker crude, but believes it might be holding up on geopolitical premium, such as the tensions in the Middle East, Sudan and south Sudan. However, long term, crude prices may go down on high supply coming in the next few years and growth in oil demand not catching up.

In the short-term, speculative trade flows will exit the commodities market, particularly in exchange traded commodities and the LME metals.

Also Read: Gold below $1250/oz may shut down mines: Scotia Moccata

Below is the edited transcript of Daniel Morgan's interview with CNBC-TV18

Q: What would you say could be the next direction that crude prices could take because that is the one commodity that's been relatively stable through this period of carnage?

A: Commodity prices have had huge moves in the past 24-48 hours and currencies as well. The signaling of the end of quantitative easing (QE) by the US Federal Reserve has caused a huge rupture in the financial market. Gold has seen huge moves in the past 24 hours and as a result of impending end of QE,. we have moved our gold forecast to downgrade. Therefore, we have turned bearish towards gold as a result of these moves.

Q: What kind of price levels are you targeting now post the downgrade for gold and silver?

A: Spot prices fell over 7 percent last night and sitting below USD 1,300 per ounce is a bit of a liquidation manoeuvre. So, in the next 12 months we are looking for some stabilisation, maybe some physical demand to help the price, but then a continued decline in price (may push it) towards long-term level of USD 1,100 per ounce. The key case for gold is a hedge against inflation and the risk of inflation has significantly deteriorated in the last 24 hours. So, we are not advising people to hold a lot of gold in their portfolios as a result.

Q: What about crude? That's been stubbornly stuck in USD 102-105 per bbl range despite some weak economic indicators from markets like China. Do you see it correcting or it being a relative out performer in the commodity basket?

A: Crude has been stubbornly high and given the moves in other exchange traded commodities linked to QE; I would have thought that it might be little bit weaker. One of the reasons that we think crude might be holding up is a geopolitical premium.

So, tensions in the Middle East that is ever present and in serious situation in other regions in the Middle East like Sudan and south Sudan, these are the things that are causing the stability. So, the geopolitical premium is probably the reason why oil prices are holding up.

However, fundamentally, if you are looking towards longer-term trends then there is a lot more supply coming on in the next few years and economic growth hasn't brought through a big demand driver for oil. So, I would still expect prices to be weaker and go below USD 100 per bbl in the next couple of years.

Q: There hasn't been too much chatter about what happens to the industrials though, particularly given what the Fed had to say about growth improving. What would you say could be the outlook for some of these industrial metals going ahead?

A: In the short-term, you are going to see speculative trade flows exit the commodity space and so you are going to have some very volatile moves in the short-term and that is going to be most particularly in exchange traded commodities, the London Metal Exchange (LME) metals, things like gold and crude oil, although, have not seen that.

Coal and iron ore should be a bit more insulated because they tend to be end market commodities where it's direct transactions between consumers and suppliers of commodities. So, that is probably going to be less impacted by these QE moves.

However, ultimately we shouldn't move too far away from fundamental. Why the US Federal Reserve changed their stance towards QE? It's the US economy; it is starting to recover from its anemic growth levels and this is going to be a good thing for the global economy and will put it on a sure footing and eventually will help demand for commodities, particularly in the metal space, copper and aluminium and nickel.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Buy Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp, Ipca Lab: Rajesh Agarwal

Jun 21, 2013, 02.27 PM IST

Rajesh Agarwal of Eastern Financiers recommends buying Mahindra Ugine Steel Company, Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp and Ipca Laboratories.

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Buy Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp, Ipca Lab: Rajesh Agarwal

Rajesh Agarwal of Eastern Financiers recommends buying Mahindra Ugine Steel Company, Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp and Ipca Laboratories.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Buy Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp, Ipca Lab: Rajesh Agarwal

Rajesh Agarwal of Eastern Financiers recommends buying Mahindra Ugine Steel Company, Rasoya Proteins, Welspun Corp and Ipca Laboratories.

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In CNBC-TV18's popular show Bull's Eye, Rajesh Agarwal of Eastern Financiers shares his trading strategies for the day.

Buy Mahindra Ugine Steel Company with a stoploss of Rs 88 and target is Rs 95.50.

One can buy Rasoya Proteins with a stop loss of Rs 11.90 and target of Rs 13. This is a solvent extraction company operating out of Maharashtra. It is a major player in soya products like oil, cakes, etc. Despite carnage yesterday on markets we witnessed this stock made a new high in BSE with higher volumes and we believe that the momentum is likely to continue for some more trading sessions.

One can buy Welspun Corp with a stop loss of Rs 46 and target of Rs 50. This company is basically into submerged arc pipes and plates. The company is trying to restructure its operations with full focus on pipes and plates. They are demerging their other units into a separate company. They are trying to reduce their debt aggressively and this demerger is going to maximize shareholder value as debt is going to go down.

Buy Ipca Laboratories . One can buy this with a stop loss of Rs 683 with a target of Rs 702. This is a fully integrated pharma company which has around 350 formulations and 80 APIs under its belt. They have major international clients like GlaxoSmithKline, Merck Ltd, etc. The company has strong thrust on exports. Exports constitute around 61 percent of their total turnover. And the pain management business is doing extremely well.


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