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Buy NCDEX Chana Jan; target Rs 3100: Emkay

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 31 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Emkay's research report on agri commodities -

NCDEX Chana Jan. contract remain firm for the day as price has witnessed buying interest at support levels of 3020-3030 levels on Monday. Any break and close below 3020 only can extend its declines, failure of which can boost prices towards 3105 levels.

Contract - Jan
Strategy - Buy
Entry - 3025-3030
Target - 3100
Stop loss - 3000

NCDEX Sugar Jan future prices could trade sideways for the day as price has witnessed selling interest from key levels of 2820-2830 levels. However, Overall trend remains weak till price manages to trade below 2860, targeting 2730 levels.

Contract - Jan
Strategy - Range
Entry - 2830-2780

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

2014: Angle Broking's best bets from FMCG, metal, pharma

Dec 31, 2013, 02.07 PM IST

2013 was an exceptional year for IT and pharmaceutical. Lot of polarisation happened within the top tier companies. In 2014 as well, earnings growth will largely be dependent on export oriented sectors, Mayuresh Joshi, Angel Broking said.

Tags  HCL Tech, TCS, KPIT Tech, Sun Pharma, Dr Reddys Labs, Cadila Health, ITC, Britannia, Dabur India, Tata Steel

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2014: Angle Broking's best bets from FMCG, metal, pharma

2013 was an exceptional year for IT and pharmaceutical. Lot of polarisation happened within the top tier companies. In 2014 as well, earnings growth will largely be dependent on export oriented sectors, Mayuresh Joshi, Angel Broking said.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

2014: Angle Broking's best bets from FMCG, metal, pharma

2013 was an exceptional year for IT and pharmaceutical. Lot of polarisation happened within the top tier companies. In 2014 as well, earnings growth will largely be dependent on export oriented sectors, Mayuresh Joshi, Angel Broking said.

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In an interview to CNBC-TV18 Mayuresh Joshi, Angel Broking cherry picked his bet best for 2014 from various sector.

IT

2013 was an exceptional year for IT and pharmaceutical. Lot of polarisation happened within the top tier companies. In 2014 as well, earnings growth will largely be dependent on export oriented sectors.

Angle Broking is bullish on  HCL Technologies and  Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and believes that earnings growth in dollar and rupee terms will be exceptional for these companies. "With the US economy picking up and European markets stabilizing, discretionary spends on the IT side whether it be BFSI or the other sectors should grow going forward. It should support the EBITDA margins of both these companies within the top tier IT names," he said.

From midcap IT, it sees huge potential in KPIT Cummins . "The management has indicated that it will outperform Nasscom estimates by a huge margin. It has been consistently delivering results over the past few quarters. Our expectations are that the revenue growth both in dollar and rupee terms for KPIT can be much better than the industry," he said.

Pharma

One can buy largecaps Sun Pharma and Dr Reddys Laboratories on dips. From the midcap pharma space, Ipca Laboratories and Cadila Healthcare have huge potential. "Ipca Labs has utilization of Rs 80-100 crore in terms of bottom-line performance. It has got 36 ANDAs in the pipeline, 62 percent of its revenue contribution comes in from the export markets," he added.  Cadila Healthcare can also be placed in one's portfolio as the company has got good pipeline of products, which can be revenue accretive.

FMCG

ITC ,  Britannia and  Dabur are the broking firm's best bets from this space. "We see tremendous growth in the rural markets. Especially in case of Dabur, we expect its juices business to do well. It has been able to maintain margins at 15-16 percent; volume growth has been pretty good between 10-12 percent. Valuation wise it is a little bit expensive at 34-35 times, but looking at growth coming from rural and urban areas, the stock is poised to do well, "he added.

Metal

From the metals pack, it is betting on Tata Steel . "We believe that the import substitution theory can play out very well for Tata Steel. It has been able to maintain that margins, growth and revenues in a tough economic environment from its European operations. Once the domestic macro economic conditions improve, Tata Steels domestic operations can aid and benefit from this move and again aid earnings growth going forward," he said.

From the agro-chemical play, it is bullish on United Phosphorus. "The stock is not trading too expensively- it is at seven times FY15 earnings. The stock looks reasonable; buyback at Rs 220 will be a good support for the stock from a medium to long-term perspective," he added.


Also Read

Sudarshan Sukhani

s2analytics.com

Markets pause in ongoing up move; 6320 resistance holds for Nifty while support holds at 6200; Index in narrow range!

Trading range markets are difficult to trade in the best of times. In India, we are not in the best of times with a crucial national election coming ahead in the next few months. In the uncertain political scenario, the Nifty, our benchmark Index has recorded life time highs, now trading very close to these life time values.

Trend is up in CNX IT. We will discuss important support levels for the index. We have ALUMINIUM in METALS. Prices have seen a breakout from a bullish pattern and now moving upwards. We have resistance levels for the Aluminium, where prices are likely to face difficulty.

Then we have AUTOMOBILE Sector. The sector is consolidating and trading inside a large trading range. The sector is best avoided as of now. Stocks in focus include GODREJIND & NTPC. For each of these stocks, we analyze their technical picture; identify trades with stop loss and targets. At the end we have USD-INR currency pair. Prices are trading inside a narrow trading range and at the verge of the breakout. Read full report »


16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Buy Emami; target of Rs 539: Ventura

Ventura's research report on Emami

"We expect the company's power brands (Navratna, Boroplus, Zandu & Mentho Plus and Fair & Handsome) to drive the top line growth on the back of its eminent presence in niche under-penetrated product categories, expansion of its distribution reach and strong focus on rural markets. Despite the revenue concentration among the top four brands, no single brand accounts for more than 20-22 percent of revenues and hence provides stability to revenues. Moreover, regular flow of 2-3 new product launches / extensions every year should help keep the company's brand and product portfolio reinvigorated besides building on the brand equity further."

"We initiate coverage on Emami Ltd (Emami) as a BUY with a Price Objective of Rs 539 representing an upside potential of ~14 percent over the next 15 months. At the CMP of Rs 475, the stock is trading at 29.1x and 24.7x its FY14E and FY15E earnings respectively. During past three years, Emami has broadly traded in 25-29x one-year forward PE band. We believe that the stock has the potential to trade in the upper range of this band on account of strong positioning in under-penetrated categories, thrust on rural market penetration, aggressive ad spends and rapid expansion in distribution network. Moreover, strong growth in International business should give push overall profitability and revenue growth. Accordingly, we have assigned a target multiple of 28x to its FY15E earnings translating into a target price of Rs 539," says Ventura Securities research.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



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Buy Cocudakl, Kapas on dip; sell Soybean: Geojit Comtrade

Geojit Comtrade's report on agricultural commodities

Cardamom Jan MCX: Cardamom prices traded with thin volume and later the day closed at 677.5. For the day, expect to see some recovery in prices to 700 regions before resuming the next leg of selloffs. However, a direct rise above 710 would call for short covering rallies to 725-735 regions.

Cocudakl Jan NCDEX: Cocud prices skyrocketed sharply from 1449 and closed the day at 1488 levels. As long as prices are able to stay above 1475, expect to find a major recovery rally towards 1500 followed by 1515/25 levels. It is also well supported by strong volume and positive daily RSI, confirming the bullish moves. However, a mild profit booking cannot be ruled out towards 1460, if prices break below 1475 levels.

Kapas Apr 2014 NCDEX: As prices broke the resistance of 1002, expect to find the rally towards 1025 levels.

Soybean Jan NCDEX: As long as 3800 caps upside, expect to see downfall towards 3750 followed by 3700 levels.

Strategies:
Buy Cocudakl on dips
Sell Soybean on pullbacks
Buy Kapas on dips

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.



16.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Sector fund invt is not for first-time investors: Kothari

Written By Unknown on Senin, 30 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Dec 30, 2013, 01.42 PM IST

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Gajendra Kothari of Etica Wealth Management spoke about pros and cons of sector fund investment.

Tags  Gajendra Kothari, Etica Wealth Management, sector fund, investment

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Sector fund invt is not for first-time investors: Kothari

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Gajendra Kothari of Etica Wealth Management spoke about pros and cons of sector fund investment.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Sector fund invt is not for first-time investors: Kothari

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Gajendra Kothari of Etica Wealth Management spoke about pros and cons of sector fund investment.

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In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Gajendra Kothari of Etica Wealth Management spoke about pros and cons of sector fund investment.


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Nifty below 6300; IT, realty stocks under pressure

Dec 30, 2013, 02.18 PM IST

The Nifty continues to trade in a narrow band of 20 points amid thin volumes. IT and realty stocks were trading weak on the back of profit booking. BSE Metal index was the top sectoral index gainer with close to 1 percent gain.

Tags  BSE Sensex, Nifty, market

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Nifty hovers around 6300; IT, realty stocks under pressure

The Nifty continues to trade in a narrow band of 20 points amid thin volumes. IT and realty stocks were trading weak on the back of profit booking. BSE Metal index was the top sectoral index gainer with close to 1 percent gain.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Nifty hovers around 6300; IT, realty stocks under pressure

The Nifty continues to trade in a narrow band of 20 points amid thin volumes. IT and realty stocks were trading weak on the back of profit booking. BSE Metal index was the top sectoral index gainer with close to 1 percent gain.

Share  .  Email  .  Print  .  A+A-

14:15

Moneycontrol Bureau
The Nifty continues to trade in a narrow band of 20 points amid thin volumes. IT and realty stocks were trading weak on the back of profit booking. BSE Metal index was the top sectoral index gainer with close to 1 percent gain.

The Sensex was down 33 points at 21160 and the Nifty was down 17 points at 6296.About 1277 shares advanced, 1044 shares declined, and 143 shares were unchanged.

Top gainers in the Sensex were Coal India (up 1.56%), Sesa Sterlite (up 1.19%), BHEL (up 1.18%), Tata Motors (up 1.13%) and Reliance Industries (up 1.06%).

Infosys (down 2.04%), Bajaj Auto (down 1.67%), M&M (down 1.18%), Cipla (down 0.99%) and ONGC (down 0.99%) were top losers.


12:00

Nifty flat at 6300; DLF, Infy, ACC, Bajaj Auto top losersRead More »

The Nifty continues to trade flat in a lackluster trade on Monday. Lack of trading participation from fund managers and FIIs on account of year-end holidays is keeping the Nifty in a narrow band of 20 points. The action continues in broader markets. Stocks like TVS Motors, CMC, Gati and Ramco have made double digit gains for traders.

Read More »

The Best New Year Parties in India


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The Future Of Tax

Published on Mon, Dec 30,2013 | 14:18, Updated at Mon, Dec 30 at 14:26Source : CNBC-TV18 |   Watch Video :

In February, 2013 – Australia proposed a new tax legislation to counter tax avoidance and multinational profit shifting

That same month, US Sentaor Carl Levin proposed legislation that would require country by country tax reporting for all SEC registered companies

In May - the 27 member European Union considered doing the same for all Europe based multinationals.

In June – the 8 most powerful nations (USA, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, and Italy) in the world committed to tax & transparency. 

Next month, the 34 country OECD set out a 15 point action plan to tackle base erosion and profit shifting.

In September the G20 decided on automatic exchange of information starting 2015

And last month – the EU proposed amendments to end double non-taxation

Doshi: There probably hasn't been a month this year when tax did not make the global headlines and there probably isn't a multinational company in the world that isn't facing tax scrutiny. What then is the future of tax? At the recently held FIT conference in Mumbai, CNBC-TV18's Menaka Doshi sat down with a one-of-a-kind panel. No corporate tax officials, no Big 4 consultants, no savvy tax lawyers. Instead we asked one Revenue Head and two Professors about the future of tax and the big changes on the anvil.

Liselott Kana, Head, Department of International Taxation, Internal Revenue Service, Chile Basically, last year, everything changed. We have to be aware of that. There is a very high level of political commitment and I also think - when you talked about morality- I would like to comment on that in the sense that inequality has actually risen. The gap between the rich and the poor is getting worse even within the OECD, even in the countries with better rates. So I think it is becoming a very political issue and apparently the multinationals have to rise up to it and start paying their dues- that is what people are saying from a political point of view.

Doshi: Do you think that the responsibility lies with multinationals or do you think it equally or more so lies on revenue authorities, on governments to write tax law that is easier to follow and that does not allow for loopholes that multinationals can exploit?

Michael Lang, Head, Institute for Austrian & International Tax LawOne of the problems is that we tend to mix policy issues on the one hand and the interpretation of the law on the other hand and I think we should keep that separate, but that is not always kept separate. Sometimes, in some countries, there is a certain influence from that political debate in applying the existing law and I think a long as we live with the existing provisions we have to apply the existing provisions and when there is a need to change the provisions, then the provisions have to be changed.

Doshi: The events of the last 12 months seem to indicate that governments do want to change the law as well.

Michael Lang: The general theme of the discussion that we are having for the last 12 months and even before that is more or less fairness and that fits into the bigger picture, because what we have seen even before in the last 5 or 10 years that there is a shift also in the tax architecture from direct taxation to indirect taxation. So, in most countries, indirect taxation has become much more important. Many countries have either introduced the Value Added Tax (VAT) or are considering a VAT. The only major country which so far has been seriously considering VAT is the US, but all other countries have either introduced the VAT or are considering introducing a VAT. VAT of course is a revenue generator and therefore I think in the long run we will see and we have seen already that direct taxes will lose relevance at least as a revenue generator and therefore it is kind of natural that the focus is more on fairness issues also. Of course VAT has in its nature a kind of regressive effect- therefore politicians in many countries, where VAT plays an important role, are more concerned now about how to achieve fairness or how to compensate and of course there are different means to do that.

Doshi: Is it fairness or is it that the last few years the global economy has gone through a debilitating financial crisis, revenue is under pressure and therefore these are things that are actively on the agenda. If the global economy recovers, if countries starts seeing growth come back and hence revenue come back, do you think the BEPS 15-point plan will be as important to us two or three years down the line as it is today?

Jon Bischel, Professor & Author of International Taxation, United StatesThis issue of fairness is a question of fairness to whom. There are little over 150 countries that are not members of the OECD. In those countries, they talk about fairness not only in terms of revenue, but also in terms of economic development. What we are talking about- there are some countries like the United States that would not extend what was called a tax-bearing credit for purposes of economic development in the developing countries. So there will be probably a number of developing countries which will say- well how much fairness is enough in terms of rate structure? Because if a multinational corporation is paying an effective rate of 2 to 3 percent, that is clearly not very fair, we know that, but if they are paying the effective rate in the particular country in which they are headquartered or located and that rate is 20 points lower than the rate in another country, is that fair and the answer is I think so. So this has become a question amongst various countries in terms of saying, to what degree should the tax system be employed, not only to collect revenue, but also as an engine of economic development.

The BEPS report may take sometime to produce tangible results, but tax activists are in no mood to wait, putting pressure on governments to change now. We asked our guests about the top changes they expect soonest.

Liselott Kana: There will be more automatic exchange of information- that is the latest and I think that will also change the revenues the way that we administrate it, because the whole structure will change within the administration.

Michael Lang: Exchange of information has already become very important and will become even more important. Personally I hope that the pendulum will swing back at least a bit as far as legal protection is concerned, because today we are talking only about how we can make exchange of information more effective, more efficient, but we do not talk about legal protection of the taxpayer. We also see that in the past international relations in the tax area had mainly been bilateral and this is going to change. The idea - also closely linked to the BEPS project- is to change bilateral basis on a multilateral basis to do that more effective, to speed up with changes in the tax treaty area. We see that in the area of exchange of information as well. We have multilateral agreements already in place, so I think there is a trend towards multilateralization also and in other trend we also see that soft law has become very important in the tax area.

Doshi: Can you explain soft law?

Michael Lang: We are used to applying conventional treaties which get the approval of the parliaments in the various contracting States. However what we see in the light of the BEPS discussion but not only in the light of the BEPS discussion that suddenly we have recommendations of international organizations, even of groups like the G20, like the G8 or so and those recommendations are extremely powerful, but that is not part of the law, but it is even more powerful than legal rules could be at the end of the day which I think is a very important development. It is also, to a certain extent, a frightening development because there is no rule making body; there are no rules how at the end of the day. So therefore the stronger players in this game will survive, they will win and the weaker ones have disadvantages.

Jon Bischel: Two things - instead of having a so called arm's length standard with regard to allocation of income, what they need to do with the multinationals is to take a look at the fact that they have residual profits in addition to what might be profits of the normal unrelated parties. They have to find the means of allocating the total profit- that is one. Two, another interim solution, at least for a while on the part of a number of countries would be outbound payments or mandatory withholding even on the treaty which they provide so that the taxpayer can show that it indeed has paid the tax on another jurisdiction, that that withholding tax would be remitted back to the taxpayer.

Earlier this month, global telecom giant Vodafone published data on how much direct and indirect tax it has paid in each of the 27 countries it operates in. A noble half gesture, because it lacked a region-wise revenue or profit breakup. But more MNCs may follow in Vodafone's footsteps, especially as both the US and European Union are now debating making country-by- country reporting mandatory.

Liselott Kana: We need to get everyone knowledgeable enough on what are the issues and what to do and not everyone is onboard in that sense. Not everyone gets the same information. So I think country by country reporting will be sometime off.

Doshi: Is country-by-country reporting the solution or the first step towards fighting double non-taxation as well? If you do not have the information on who is paying how much where, how do you fight this?

Jon Bischel: It is an essential first step. There is no question about that.

Doshi: Is it going to become a reality? Is this something companies should prepare for?

Jon Bischel: It is already being encouraged and fostered by a number of developed countries who are putting pressure on developing countries; especially those that do not have strong income tax systems and who are basically income tax havens- they have the other forms of taxation such as VAT, sales tax and things of that nature.

Doshi: So do you think that will eventually lead to formal country-by-country reporting requirements for most multinational companies across the world?

Jon Bischel: It is hard to say that that is actually going to happen, because it depends on where those multinationals are actually headquartered. They may fragment their functions and as a result it might be difficult to amalgamate all of them to come up with one number. That is part of the problem that we face.

Michael Lang: I think the overall theme is that there is more information available for the tax administration, but also that there is more awareness how much tax is paid by corporation in which country and there is also a trend that tax planning decisions are no any longer in the responsibility of the tax director, but also of the board. Taxes are more connected to public responsibility which is an interesting development.

A study by activist group- Citizens For Tax Justice- claims that at least 18 large American multinationals are stashing profits in offshore havens which if repatriated could yield the US a USD 100 billion in tax. Reuters says at least 206 of America's largest 500 companies by market capitalization have one or more subsidiaries in Ireland where the corporate tax rate is 12.5 percent. Almost three quarters of those 206 firms also had one or more Dutch units. As the activism builds, MNCs will most likely have to give up their steady diet of double Dutch-Irish sandwiches.

Jon Bischel: What the multinationals may do, instead of doing something directly, what they may do is work with unrelated parties to move funds from a country through an unrelated party, to another unrelated party, to their subsidiary or their headquarters in a tax haven country. So there are other ways for the multinationals if they wish to do so. We have some multinationals who are currently paying effective rates of 2 and 3 percent and I do not think that they are eager to pay 25 to 30 percent.

Doshi: How do you see Revenue starting to deal with some of these issues? Should we expect a big change in treaties across the board for most countries? Should we expect tax laws being rewritten in next 10 years to be able to plug all these loopholes? What will we see Revenue do?

Liselott Kana: We will see a lot of domestic changes, because it is much more on the front page. We are not accustomed to be on television and taxation now is front page news and that is unusual, that has not happened before. I think from my colleagues from the private sector I hear nowadays a complete different tune that multinationals that come into our country will say, I do not want anything strange, I do not want to be anything more than I can live with on the front page. So it is a different attitude and I think it has to do with what Michael was saying about soft law, because we do not want to be looked on as baddies and in the combination of soft law, I think the initiatives of the G20 which are more from G20 and the OECD taking onboard that work is going to lead to changes definitely. I think we will have things coming up in transfer pricing. I think we will have CFC rules. We have more exchange of information and all those things will have to be implemented country by country.

In OECD's 15 point BEPS plan, the very first action point is to address the challenges of the digital economy. India is yet to wake up to the problem, but Europe, USA and Australia are already hard at work.

Liselott Kana: I do think there will be changes, but that will have to be done within 2,500 tax treaties if we are going to change it. So it has to be done in a multilateral way and it has lots of challenges still.

Michael Lang: I think what is interesting is if you look at the BEPS report, it talks about digital economy and then the report leaves it open whether the measures should be taken in the area of direct taxation or indirect taxation and it proposes to study measures in both areas. I think this could be the key in that respect, because it is quite difficult. Of course the situation that it is today is not very satisfactory because it is the allocation of taxation rights for those kind of businesses is done on more or less arbitrary basis, because we have more or less residence taxation. In most of these situations, there is no permanent establishment in other countries and of course it is quite easy to manipulate which State is State of residences. On the other hand, it is quite difficult to change that system completely in the area of direct taxation. Of course there is some room for changes. We can work on the permanent establishment definition and the UN has gone in that direction and many developing countries have gone in that direction to lower the thresholds there for example. So there is some room, but I think there is more music in the area of VAT and therefore I would put more emphasis on indirect taxation here, because it might be more easier to change the rules in the area of indirect taxation, because we are not locked in by treaty network as we are in the area of direct taxation.

Jon Bischel: In the digital economy, income occurs in nanoseconds. So what happens in the course is with regard to that type of economy the issue with regard to where the income should be allocated depends upon where the value is created with regard to that particular income. I think that the tax administrators have to be much more aggressive in redefining the so called arm's length standards or income allocation to take into account those factors.


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Buy Tata Power, advises Sudarshan Sukhani

Dec 30, 2013, 02.25 PM IST

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com recommends buying Tata Power as the stock is on the verge of a breakout.

Tags  Sudarshan Sukhani, s2analytics.com, Tata Power, Adani Power, Reliance Power

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Buy Tata Power, advises Sudarshan Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com recommends buying Tata Power as the stock is on the verge of a breakout.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Buy Tata Power, advises Sudarshan Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com recommends buying Tata Power as the stock is on the verge of a breakout.

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Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com told CNBC-TV18, "I would be a buyer in Tata Power . It is not a day trading instrument. It is something one wants to hold in a position. At current levels it is on the verge of a breakout, it is something that is worth trading on."

"It is not just Tata Power, I think Adani Power  and to some extent Reliance Power  have the same patterns. So, power as a sector is bottoming out. We should always be on the long side here," he said.

Disclosure: He does not have any positions in the stock.


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Indian mkt will be 'very, very volatile' in 2014: Analyst

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 29 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Indian stocks are likely to head into a correction starting 2014, which could last for at least one, or more, quarters, according to KR Bharat, MD, Advent Advisors.

As part of a global equity rally, Indian shares have logged about 7 percent year-to-date, and are currently perched close to their all-time highs. But the rally was largely driven by easy liquidity sloshing around because of the loose monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve and other central banks, Bharat told CNBC-TV18 in a discussion.

As a result, as the Fed starts to unwind its stimulus that it unveiled in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, stocks will take a hit, he said, adding that the Fed could wind down its monetary stimulus by late 2014 or early 2015.

"So the liquidity flows that played a large role in the 2013 rally will not play the same role in 2014 and if India is to witness good equity performance, it has to be on the basis of strong fundamentals of the Indian economy and I think we are a fair distance from that," he said.

"Indian equities could correct for the first quarter of 2014 or all the way through two or three quarters, before beginning a sustained bull market rally towards the end of 2014," Bharat said.

Also read: 2013 in review: Pharma's year of quality woes

Go easy on equities

When asked what strategy investors could adopt in an environment where his prognosis comes true, he said individual investors' allocation to stocks could be 10-20 percent, which could be increased to 50-60 percent towards the end of 2014.

Even this year, developed markets such as US have outperformed Indian markets – the S&P 500 has clocked a 30 percent gain -- and Bharat believes the outperformance is likely to continue into 2014. "Even within emerging markets, stocks in countries like Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan, which are making fairly significant strides [are likely to do well]."

Volatility could also increase thanks to the central-government elections due to take place in May next year, Bharat said. "For every single opinion poll starting from the end of February, people are going to come up with different outcomes and with the publication of each these polls you are going to have huge volatility."

"So the only thing you can say with certainty about 2014: It is going to be very, very volatile."



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Will nation accept Narendra Modi's strong note of anguish?

R Jagannathan
Firstpost.com

Will the nation accept Narendra Modi's very strong note of "anguish" over 2002 and move on? Will his deep statement of "grief" be an electoral game-changer in 2014?

The nation will tell us what the majority think in May 2014. For, when it comes to Modi, the reaction is always black or white. Reactions are binary: Like/Dislike. Those who like him, will accept anything he says. Those who dislike him will find ways to dismiss what is probably his strongest near-apology about the Gujarat communal rioting under his watch as not good enough (read his full statement here ).

However, at the very least it proves one thing: his " puppy " analogy, used in a July interview to describe the unfortunate deaths in 2002, and widely criticised as insensitive, now appears to have been a case of poor articulation. His statement about his feelings at that time have been described in his blog today. There are no gaffes in it, indicating that Modi is making a real effort to reach out to Muslims indirectly. He said: "'Grief, sadness, misery, pain, anguish, agony – mere words could not capture the absolute emptiness one felt on witnessing such inhumanity." If it succeeds in dispelling the strong antipathy of Muslims towards him, it will have have served its political purpose.

However, the statement will be seen differently by Modi-bhakts and Modi-baiters.

For too many of the latter kind, justice for 2002 has come to mean putting Modi in jail, and not the conviction and sentencing of the guilty in various cases. There are over a hundred convictions now, including many carrying life sentences, but for the Left-Liberal caucus in Delhi, the crimes of 2002 are only about Modi.

Those who hate him, including those who have been demanding an apology in the hope that he won't do any such thing, have now raised the bar, now that he has expressed words of some contrition. What he said does not even sound like an apology, some will say. Others will pooh-pooh it, and wonder how "anguish" expressed after 11 years can be counted as the real thing.

Some will contrast what Modi said with what Manmohan Singh said about the 1984 anti-Sikh killings – 21 years later in 2005. Modi said he "was shaken to the core" by the events of 2002.

Manmohan Singh, on the other hand, said it with fewer words, but it was a clear apology . "I have no hesitation in apologising to the Sikh community. I apologise not only to the Sikh community, but to the whole Indian nation because what took place in 1984 is the negation of the concept of nationhood enshrined in our Constitution."

So, in formal terms, Singh's was a fuller apology than Modi's. It said a clear sorry.

But did it bring any closure? A close examination does not show this to be true. The apology came not only 21 years after the event, but from a Sikh prime minister who had nothing to do with it. It came not from the Congress party or the Gandhi family, but their appointed caretaker.

Unlike the Gujarat cases, the Sikh killings have not resulted in any kind of significant convictions of the perpetrators. This, even though the casualties were more than twice as high as in Gujarat. The distribution of casualties heavily one-sided in 1984 -- with only Sikhs being killed. The Gujarat riots saw more people die from police firings than through communal targeting –- suggesting that policing was not entirely abandoned. In 1984, they were.

Another point of difference is this: in 1984, Rajiv Gandhi campaigned for the Congress by tapping into the anti-Sikh sentiment that was prevalent after the assassination of Indira Gandhi. The elections were held barely two months after the assassination, and so even the Election Commission helped Rajiv achieve a huge sympathy wave.

In 2002, Modi campaigned on a veiled anti-minority plank, but the Election Commission delayed the elections to the Gujarat assembly for well over six months in order to avoid giving people a chance to vote in anger. But Modi still won hands down.

But despite a continuous barrage of court cases and media criticism, all of which he weathered, we still find only Modi in the dock, despite a near-apology or expressions of pain and anguish.

Quite clearly, the bar will be raised continuously for Modi.

However, there is a difference between the phony Delhi consensus against accepting a Modi apology and how the ordinary Indian Muslim will view it. Most Muslims may still not vote for him, but many of them will probably accept that the Modi of 2014 is not the same Modi as 2002.

The big question is how this impacts their voting patterns.This is really the biggest question of 2014, not whether Modi will win. If many Muslims find the near-apology sincere enough, 2014 will be a game-changing election.

The writer is editor-in-chief, digital and publishing, Network18 Group



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Places to dine on New Year`s Eve

Mumbai

Go the Whole Hog@Sofitel


This New Year's there's a feast for every kind of foodie at Bandra Sofitel. Buffet junkies can settle in at Jyran. The kids can party on in Pondicherry Café, and vegeterians can have their senses awakened at  Tuskers.
 


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A snow clad New Year’s eve in Shimla

After a white Christmas, it's time for a snow clad New Years in Shimla, adding to the delight of tourists flocking the hill stations of Himachal Pradesh. Few other places in the state such as Kullu, Manali, Rohtang Pass, Lahaul and Spiti will also receive snowfall.

A fairly good Western Disturbance will start affecting weather from today onwards and will bring snow and rain in the lower hills just before the New Year's celebrations. At present the maximum and minimum temperatures in Shimla are 13 degrees and 1 degree, respectively.

Tourists here should start bracing up for cold wave conditions as night temperatures may fall to sub-zero levels. Day temperature in Shimla will come down below 5 degrees. We expect a cloud cover in another 24 hours, gradually reducing the diurnal variation of temperatures. Hoteliers here are hoping that tourists will throng in large numbers, ahead of New Year's.

picture courtesy- wespeaknews

By: Skymetweather.com



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Do you really know bitcoin? Here are 11 myths

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 28 Desember 2013 | 16.02

While there were plenty of other big surprises in 2013, no business story likely was more unique than bitcoin, the online simulated currency that threatened to shake up the global monetary system.

Debate raged over bitcoin's legitimacy: Was it just a playful creation of hobbyists, or a new exchange medium brought about as a logical reaction to profligate currency manipulation from the world's central banks?

Nick Colas, chief market strategist at ConvergEx, was one of the early Wall Street analysts to take a serious look at bitcoin back in February. To wrap up 2013, he examined what he sees as 11 myths surrounding the subject.

1. Bitcoin is huge

For all the talk and hype, bitcoin is tiny with a total value of just USD 10.8 billion. That compares to the total stock of US dollar at USD 800 billion, Colas said in a report. There's also about USD 4 trillion in global currency traded every day.

(Read more: What you need to know about digital currencies)

2. Bitcoin enables drugs and terrorism

Colas argues that bitcoin is "way too volatile" for the average drug dealer or terrorist. That's not to say that "some enterprising dealers" don't use it, but if it was widespread Colas contends its value would be "USD 10,000 or higher" compared to Friday morning's trading value of about $800.

3. Bitcoin is a currency

This is perhaps the most contentious observation, as bitcoin is often referred to as a "cryptocurrency." Colas offers that bitcoin is "a system much more than a 'currency'" in which holders agree to take part in a transaction of value.

Banking analyst Dick Bove may have been more to the point, where in a recent analysis he called bitcoin a "low-cost replacement for credit cards and other payment mechanisms." There are virtually no costs involved with bitcoin transactions, as opposed to wire transfers, for instance.

4. Bitcoin has never been more volatile than now

Untrue, according to a chart Colas prepared analyzing bitcoin's one-month returns and standard deviation. It actually was more volatile in May 2011, before most people even had heard of bitcoin.

(Read more: Behind China's love affair with bitcoin)

5. Chinese citizens can't buy bitcoins

BTC China has been one of the most dominant exchanges for bitcoin, with nearly 10 million transactions over the past month, according to bitcoincharts. That's despite a government ban on financial institutions handling such transactions.

6. Bitcoin is not a store of value

This is an expression often given to gold and silver, and Colas said it does not apply to bitcoin. "Bitcoin may one day prove it deserves to sit alongside those assets," he said. "It isn't there yet."

7. Bitcoin is untraceable

Bitcoin transactions happen online. Enough said. (Though Colas does offer: "If you think anything you do online is secret, I can't help you.")

8. Losing anonymity will render bitcoin useless

Conversely, traceability doesn't dim bitcoin's allure, which is really in its low or no-cost transactions.

(Read more: Big US online retailer to accept Bitcoin)

9. It's a Ponzi scheme

No, it isn't. Ponzi schemes have no other intent than to defraud. There's no evidence to suggest that bitcoin is in the same boat, despite the strong price volatility and attraction for speculators. The Federal Reserve has noted the "potentially significant positive social value" of bitcoin, Colas noted.

10. Bitcoin is "ready for prime time"

No, it isn't. As Bove, Colas and numerous others have pointed out, bitcoin won't get legit until price volatility gets tamped down and a truly safe, mainstream storage place emerges. Colas suggests banks, Paypal or Apple come up with a storage device.

11. Something better will kill bitcoin

This one doesn't get so much play, but it's worth considering. Bove has contended that being first gives bitcoin a tremendous competitive advantage, and Colas echoes that point. "There are other online money transfer products out there, of course, and more to come," he said. "The challenges will be the same for all of them: security, utility and legal compliance."

The quest to meet those challenges likely means bitcoin remains a serious story for 2014.

"I absolutely understand why there are so many bitcoin haters out there. But don't hate the player; hate the game," Colas said. "Technology is a tremendously disruptive force in society, and it knows no boundaries. It disturbs every status quo. That's what is does. Just don't make the mistake of thinking that you can reverse it by calling it a bubble."



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Midcaps, small caps best Nifty in bargain-buying week

13:44

Equity benchmarks crawled higher during the week-ended December 28, with the Nifty gaining 0.7 percent to finish at 6,313, and the Sensex closing at 21,193, up 0.5 percent.
Buyers scoured for bargains among secondline shares, pushing up the CNX Midcap and BSE Smallcap indices 2.5 and 3.5 percent, respectively.

Capital goods, realty, power and bank shares were the flavour of the week, while pharma, FMCG and IT had an indifferent run.

Also read: Week ahead: Big year ends with Wall St hopeful for 2014

Dealers said overall activity was low key because of the vacation season.

Mid- and small-cap stocks have been trading far below their 2008 highs -- the CNX Midcap index is trading close to 8,000, compared to a high of 9,637 logged in January 2008 even as the Nifty trades close to its record highs.

This is an indication that the broader markets could outperform going into 2014, believes broker Dipan Mehta. "The best returns [in 2014] will be in mid- and small-cap stocks," he said. "As you see uncertainty levels come down, these shares will rally as their as their earnings become more predictable and they attain higher price-to-earnings multiples."

This, he said, was typical of bull markets where "in the first phase, large-cap stocks do well and then mid- and small-caps start outperforming large-caps."

KR Bharat, MD, Advent Advisors, however, was more cautious in his outlook and said given the weak fundamentals of the Indian economy, most of the 2013 rally in equities was driven by liquidity. One could witness a correction lasting the first or even a few quarters of 2014 and then a bull market from thereon, he said.

"Over the next two-three months, the pace of the Federal Reserve tapering will hasten and so liquidity will not play a major role in 2014. If India is to see a bull market, it has to be on the basis of [strong] Indian fundamentals and we are a fair distance from that."

Stock recap

Among frontline shares, BHEL , Jindal Steel ,  DLF and  Punjab National Bank were the key gainers, up 4-7 percent. Grasim , ONGC , Hindalco ,  ACC and  ITC rose 2-3 percent.

Laggards included HDFC , Lupin , RIL ,  Maruti Suzuki and Hero Motocorp , down around 2 percent each.

In news-driven stocks,  Rico Auto jumped 54 percent amid news the company's renewed focus on exports was paying off. The company's management, in an interview to CNBC-TV18 , said it had got export orders worth Rs 200 crore this year, above its normal business.

Amtek India  gained 20 percent after the firm acquired Germany's Kuepper Group, in a deal pegged at Rs 1,680 crore .



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We are determined to win the next election: Sonia Gandhi

After facing a major setback in the recent Assembly elections, Congress chief Sonia Gandhi on Saturday said the party is determined to win the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.

"There are big challenges before us but we are united and determined to fight and win", said Sonia Gandhi on occassion of the 128th foundation day of the Congress in Delhi on Saturday.

"I would ask media to look at other states led by other parties and see what they are doing to fight aganist corruption, do look at us but look at them too. Congress has fought corruption, media must look at track record of Congress ruled states also," Sonia stressed.

Also Read: Congress gets election ready, steps up inflation fight

She also assured that the Maharashtra's Adarsh housing scandal will be resolved soon. Her remark came after the Maharashtra Cabinet rejected a judicial commission's report on the Adarsh housing scandal.

On party's foundation day, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said, "Tasks that lie ahead require a fresh thinking and innovative ways of doing things."

The 128-year-old political behemoth now finds its foundation day bracketed with the swearing-in ceremony of the AAP government in Delhi that scripted its rout in the national capital.



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PCMA opposes ban on PET packaging of drugs

PET Container Manufacturers Association (PCMA) has opposed the recommendations of Union Health Ministry's Drug Technical Advisory Board (DTAB) demanding ban on use of PET containers for the packaging of pharmaceutical products.

The DTAB recommendations to ban packaging of pharmaceutical products in PET container on ground that PET packaging contaminates the medicine with chemicals is unjust and baseless, PCMA President Biswajit Ghosh said in a statement here today.

"The recommendation demonstrates lack of knowledge about the impact of PET packaging on pharmaceutical products. PCMA feels that DTAB, while recommending the ban has totally ignored the fact that PET is legally accepted packaging material globally," the release said.

PCMA has requested the Ministry to consider the fact that US pharmacopeia, US Food & Drug Administration, Indian pharmacopeia, Bureau of Indian Standards, and many other regulatory bodies in the world have acknowledged adequate safety standards for PET bottles.

Further, each pharmaceutical company does its own stability tests conforming to standards drawn by competent authorities before launching product their in any packaging. PET bottles meet all parameters defined in the standards, it said.

PCMA says the recommendation is based on "incomplete knowledge" and may harm general consumer interests.

It has appealed the Ministry and concerned departments to consider complete gamut of regulatory practices before arriving at any conclusion. The appeal is based on the fact that very recently as many as six such public Interest Litigations (PlL) were dismissed by various High Courts across the country and finally even the Supreme Court had squashed the PIL challenging use of PET bottles.

"It is really unfortunate that despite PET being well accepted as a packaging material for pharmaceutical products in the countries having stringent standards globally, DTAB has recommended a ban. We sincerely urge the Ministry to consider complete spectrum of regulatory practices before arriving to any conclusion." PCMA General Secretary Suresh Singhat said.



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Alok Industries: Outcome of AGM

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 27 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Dec 27, 2013, 02.03 PM IST

Alok Industries Ltd has informed that the 27th Annual General Meeting (AGM) of the Company held on December 27, 2013.

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Alok Industries: Outcome of AGM

Alok Industries Ltd has informed that the 27th Annual General Meeting (AGM) of the Company held on December 27, 2013.

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Alok Industries: Outcome of AGM

Alok Industries Ltd has informed that the 27th Annual General Meeting (AGM) of the Company held on December 27, 2013.

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Action in Alok Industries

The Best New Year Parties in India


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Nifty stuck at 6300; TCS, DLF, SBI, Infy top gainers

Dec 27, 2013, 02.28 PM IST

The BSE Sensex was trading strong on the final day of the last trading week of 2013. IT heavyweights like Infosys and TCS were star performers of the day. Midcap IT and banking stocks were also minting money for traders.

Tags  BSE Sensex, Nifty, market, stocks

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Nifty stuck at 6300; TCS, DLF, SBI, Infy top gainers

The BSE Sensex was trading strong on the final day of the last trading week of 2013. IT heavyweights like Infosys and TCS were star performers of the day. Midcap IT and banking stocks were also minting money for traders.

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Nifty stuck at 6300; TCS, DLF, SBI, Infy top gainers

The BSE Sensex was trading strong on the final day of the last trading week of 2013. IT heavyweights like Infosys and TCS were star performers of the day. Midcap IT and banking stocks were also minting money for traders.

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14:04

Moneycontrol Bureau
Live market commentary

2:21pm: Commodity Check: MCX Feb Gold contract was trading at Rs 28429, down Rs 147 or 0.51%. The yellow metal has lost nearly 20 percent from its all-time high of close to Rs 35000 in August.

MCX March Silver contract was trading flat at Rs 44790. MCX Jan Crude oil contract was trading at Rs 6188, down 11 rupees.

The BSE Sensex was trading strong on the final day of the last trading week of 2013. IT heavyweights like Infosys and TCS were star performers of the day. Midcap IT and banking stocks were also minting money for traders.

The Sensex was up 119 points or 0.6% at 21194 and the Nifty was up 33 points or 0.5% at 6312.

The advance decline ratio still remains strong with 1284 shares advancing compared to 1041 shares declining.

TCS was top gainer in the Nifty with close to 3 percent gains followed by Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 2%), NMDC (up 1.9%), Cipla (up 1.75%) and HUL (up 1.27%).

BHEL , Jaiprakash Associates and Maruti Suzuki were top losers in the Nifty losing over a percent each.

In broader markets, stocks like  Apollo Hospitals (up 6%), TVS Motor (up 5.14%), Bajaj Electricals (up 4.97%), Chennai Petro (up 4.37%) and KPIT Tech (up 4.30%) were buzzing on heavy volumes.


12:09

Nifty holds 6300; Nikkei ends at 6-year highRead More »

The benchmark index Nifty is holding 6300 mark on the first day of the January series led by gains in heavyweights like DLF, HDFC, TCS and Infosys. In Asian markets, Japans' Nikkei closed at fresh 6-year high. This is the fifth time Nikkei has closed at 6-year high in past one week on weaker yen.

Read More »

The Best New Year Parties in India


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Dena Bank allots 11.85cr equity shares to President of India

Dec 27, 2013, 02.12 PM IST

Dena Bank has allotted 11,85,83,770 equity shares of Rs 10 each at a premium of Rs 49.03 per share to President of India (Government of India) on preferential basis.

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Dena Bank allots 11.85cr equity shares to President of India

Dena Bank has allotted 11,85,83,770 equity shares of Rs 10 each at a premium of Rs 49.03 per share to President of India (Government of India) on preferential basis.

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Dena Bank allots 11.85cr equity shares to President of India

Dena Bank has allotted 11,85,83,770 equity shares of Rs 10 each at a premium of Rs 49.03 per share to President of India (Government of India) on preferential basis.

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Dena Bank has informed BSE that the Issue Committee of the Board of the Bank at its meeting held on December 26, 2013 has allotted 11,85,83,770 Equity Shares of Rs.10/- each at a premium of Rs. 49.03 per share to President of India (Government of India) on preferential basis. Consequent upon this issue, the Subscribed and Paid-up Capital of the Bank gets raised to 468,64,22,970 Equity Shares and Government of India holding gets increased to 66.57% from 55.24%.The Equity shares so allotted shall rank pari-passu with the existing equity shares of the Bank including Dividend, If any and will be locked in for a period of 3 years from the date of trading approval, as per the SEBI (ICDR) Regulations, 2009.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Dena Bank

The Best New Year Parties in India


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Buy Hexaware January futures: Krish Subramanyam

Dec 27, 2013, 02.12 PM IST

Krish Subramanyam of Asit C Mehta Investment recommends buying Hexaware Technologies January futures of Rs 130-131 for a target of Rs 136.

Tags  Krish Subramanyam, Asit C Mehta Investment, Hexaware Tech

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Buy Hexaware January futures: Krish Subramanyam

Krish Subramanyam of Asit C Mehta Investment recommends buying Hexaware Technologies January futures of Rs 130-131 for a target of Rs 136.

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Buy Hexaware January futures: Krish Subramanyam

Krish Subramanyam of Asit C Mehta Investment recommends buying Hexaware Technologies January futures of Rs 130-131 for a target of Rs 136.

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Krish Subramanyam of Asit C Mehta Investment told CNBC-TV18, "Technology pack has shown some healthy rolls and Hexaware Technologies in fact has been the best of the lot. This stock has seen some very steep correction in the last three months and it has consolidated around that Rs 120 levels. But it seems to be heading upwards and probably has some catching up to do."

"We are recommending buying of Hexaware January futures  of Rs 130-131 for a modest target of Rs 136. Possibly one could keep a stoploss of Rs 128," he said.


Action in Hexaware Technologies

The Best New Year Parties in India


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Expect Bharat Forge to touch Rs 360: Jitendra Panda

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 26 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Dec 26, 2013, 02.27 PM IST

According to Jitendra Panda of Peerless Securities, Bharat Forge may go up to Rs 360. "Whole industry is aware the growth is on and I believe this is one stock where one should keep an eye," he adds.

Tags  Jitendra Panda of Peerless Securities , Bharat Forge

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Expect Bharat Forge to touch Rs 360: Jitendra Panda

According to Jitendra Panda of Peerless Securities, Bharat Forge may go up to Rs 360. "Whole industry is aware the growth is on and I believe this is one stock where one should keep an eye," he adds.

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Expect Bharat Forge to touch Rs 360: Jitendra Panda

According to Jitendra Panda of Peerless Securities, Bharat Forge may go up to Rs 360. "Whole industry is aware the growth is on and I believe this is one stock where one should keep an eye," he adds.

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Jitendra Panda of Peerless Securities told CNBC-TV18, "If you analyse last six months,  Bharat Forge has outperformed the market and is continuously moving up. It is kind of in a year high. Once it crosses Rs 338 level which now it has already done, I believe Rs 360 is the target because it is a year high."

"They have been performing steadily and we have not seen any big corrections last six months. Overall if you see fundamentally also they are getting strong. Now, with Amtek's action also, I believe the whole industry is aware the growth is on and that is what I believe this is one stock where you should keep an eye. This target of Rs 360 is for January," he added.


The Best New Year Parties in India


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Future of gold may not be that bright in 2014: Nirmal Bang

Dec 26, 2013, 02.26 PM IST

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Kunal Shah, Nirmal Bang Commodities shared reading and outlook on various commodities like gold, silver and natural gas.

Tags  Kunal Shah, Nirmal Bang Commodities, gold, silver, natural gas

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Future of gold may not be that bright in 2014: Nirmal Bang

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Kunal Shah, Nirmal Bang Commodities shared reading and outlook on various commodities like gold, silver and natural gas.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Future of gold may not be that bright in 2014: Nirmal Bang

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Kunal Shah, Nirmal Bang Commodities shared reading and outlook on various commodities like gold, silver and natural gas.

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In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Kunal Shah, Nirmal Bang Commodities shared reading and outlook on various commodities like gold, silver and natural gas.


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NPLs likely to stay above 5% till Q4FY14: Andhra Bank

The quantum of non-performing loans (NPLs) at  Andhra Bank is likely to stay above 5 percent for the rest of the financial year, CVR Rajendran, CMD, Andhra Bank, told CNBC-TV18.

Rajendran added that he expected the bank's earnings to improve by the second quarter next fiscal, during which time the bank may look to raise additional capital through a qualified institutional placement.

Also read: Andhra Bank Q2 net falls 78.3%, asset quality falters

Below is the transcript of the interview

Q: We understand you have received Rs 200 crore from the government from the preferential issue. Would that then complete your capital raising needs or would you now look to raise capital via other means such as QIP and is any other fund-raising on the cards for the bank?

A: This would be sufficient to maintain 8 percent tier-I capital for this year. But to grow in the next year, we need to raise capital. We will look at the other opportunities once the market improves.

Q: Things are not looking too bad actually, we have seen the Bank Nifty in particular being one of the outperforming indices in December itself and quite a bit of the public sector banks have done well. You are not contemplating a qualified institutional placement (QIP)?

A: Not immediately. Our stock price is not even 40 percent of the book value. The real potential of the share will be known once we come out of the woods, which would happen in the next two quarters. Probably the second quarter of next year is when we will target a QIP after showing results.

Q: Why are you targeting Q2 of next year? Are you giving us a view that the NPL position will not improve till then? It didn't [improve] considerably in the last quarter, I think you went down from about 4.73 percent to 5.15 -- that is a substantial erosion of asset quality, how will Q3, Q4 pan out? Are you likely to remain above 5 percent in these quarters?

A: We will continue to remain above 4-5 percent, there could be a few more additions during the current quarter but what is worrying us more is the restructured assets. 10 percent of our assets are restructured as on date and there is another Rs 3,000 crore in the pipeline for the current quarter and the next quarter. So 13 percent being the restructured assets and 5 percent being the NPA, 82 percent of our assets have to service 100 percent liabilities. It is a real challenge because this 18 percent is not going to generate any revenue immediately.

Q: What is the nature of the restructured assets and the pipeline, what does it comprise of within the Rs 3000 crore?

A: Rs 2000 crore [out of the restructured assets] are only from Andhra Pradesh power companies. There are four AP power companies that will go in for restructuring so that may happen during the current quarter itself before December 31. And there could be another Rs 1,000 crore of restructuring which could happen from various infrastructure companies. There are power-generating and power-distribution companies.


Andhra Bank stock price

On December 26, 2013, at 14:30 hrs Andhra Bank was quoting at Rs 63.10, up Rs 0.55, or 0.88 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 130.00 and the 52-week low was Rs 47.30.


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 16.15 per share as per the quarter ended September 2013. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 3.91. The latest book value of the company is Rs 150.85 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 0.42.


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Buy Hero Motocorp, says Sudarshan Sukhani

Dec 26, 2013, 02.28 PM IST

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com is of the view that one may buy Hero Motocorp.

Tags  Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com , Hero Motocorp, Jubilant Food, Titan Company

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Buy Hero Motocorp, says Sudarshan Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com is of the view that one may buy Hero Motocorp.

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Buy Hero Motocorp, says Sudarshan Sukhani

Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com is of the view that one may buy Hero Motocorp.

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Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com told CNBC-TV18, "The Nifty itself is a buying opportunity and we have to be aware that there may be intraday volatility that can go against us. But if you want to start a position for the next few days, I would be a buyer in the Nifty."

He further added, "I have long positions in  Jubilant Foodworks and Titan Company . Hero Motocorp has gone through a 3-4 percent correction and that correction may be getting over, so for short-term traders  Hero Motocorp is a buying opportunity."


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Essar India buys 0.3% stake in Shree Nath Commercial

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 25 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Dec 25, 2013, 10.42 AM IST

Among other block deals, Surface Finance bought 1 lakh shares at Rs 7.66 apiece while Paresh Dhirajlal Shah offloaded 97,329 shares at Rs 7.37.

Tags  Essar India, Shree Nath Commercial & Finance, Shree Nath Comm, Surface Finance

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Essar India buys 0.3% stake in Shree Nath Commercial

Among other block deals, Surface Finance bought 1 lakh shares at Rs 7.66 apiece while Paresh Dhirajlal Shah offloaded 97,329 shares at Rs 7.37.

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Essar India buys 0.3% stake in Shree Nath Commercial

Among other block deals, Surface Finance bought 1 lakh shares at Rs 7.66 apiece while Paresh Dhirajlal Shah offloaded 97,329 shares at Rs 7.37.

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Essar India picked up 0.27 percent stake in  Shree Nath Commercial & Finance through a block deal on Tuesday.

It purchased 3,48,137 equity shares at Rs 7.37 apiece.

Among other block deals, Surface Finance bought 1 lakh shares at Rs 7.66 apiece while Paresh Dhirajlal Shah offloaded 97,329 shares at Rs 7.37.

Chimanlal Maneklal Securities have net sold 27,427 shares at Rs 7.38 apiece

Shree Nath Commercial closed at Rs 7.65, up 1.73 percent amid large volumes on the BSE.


Action in Shree Nath Commercial & Finance

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Kotak Mahindra picks up 3.7% stake in Tecpro Systems

Kotak Mahindra International picked up 3.7 percent stake in  Tecpro Systems via a block deal on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Kotak purchased 18,60,000 shares at Rs 13.95 apiece and the deal was worth Rs 2.6 crore.

However, Kitara PIIN 1101 was the seller in this block deal, which offloaded its entire shareholding. Out of total

holding, Kitara had bought more than 8 lakh shares in April 2012.

Tecpro Systems' stock closed at Rs 14.05, up 0.36 percent on the BSE.



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LT Equity Fund buys 1% stake in TD Power System

Dec 25, 2013, 10.37 AM IST

Yamada Fumio offloaded 1,69,305 shares at Rs 190.37 apiece and Yukinobu Teshima sold 2,70,843 shares at Rs 190.

Tags  L&T Equity Fund, TD Power System, Yamada Fumio, Yukinobu Teshima

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L&T Equity Fund buys 1% stake in TD Power System

Yamada Fumio offloaded 1,69,305 shares at Rs 190.37 apiece and Yukinobu Teshima sold 2,70,843 shares at Rs 190.

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L&T Equity Fund buys 1% stake in TD Power System

Yamada Fumio offloaded 1,69,305 shares at Rs 190.37 apiece and Yukinobu Teshima sold 2,70,843 shares at Rs 190.

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L&T Equity Fund bought 1.1 percent equity stake in  TD Power System via block deal on Tuesday, which was worth Rs 7 crore.

The fund house purchased 3,73,387 shares at Rs 190.10 apiece.

However, Yamada Fumio offloaded 1,69,305 shares at Rs 190.37 apiece and Yukinobu Teshima sold 2,70,843 shares at Rs 190.

The stock closed at Rs 234.90, down 0.80 percent amid large volumes on the BSE on Tuesday.


Action in TD Power Systems

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Kotak Mahindra buys 1.7% stake in Innoventive Industries

Dec 25, 2013, 10.45 AM IST

Kotak bought 9,99,670 equity shares at Rs 14.35 apiece on the National Stock Exchange.

Tags  Kotak Mahindra International, Innoventive Industries, Innoventive Ind, Kitara PIIN 1101

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Kotak Mahindra buys 1.7% stake in Innoventive Industries

Kotak bought 9,99,670 equity shares at Rs 14.35 apiece on the National Stock Exchange.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Kotak Mahindra buys 1.7% stake in Innoventive Industries

Kotak bought 9,99,670 equity shares at Rs 14.35 apiece on the National Stock Exchange.

Share  .  Email  .  Print  .  A+A-
Kotak Mahindra International purchased 1.68 percent stake in  Innoventive Industries through block deal on Tuesday.

Kotak bought 9,99,670 equity shares at Rs 14.35 apiece on the National Stock Exchange.

However, Kitara PIIN 1101 was the seller in a block deal, which was worth Rs 1.4 crore. The firm reduced its stake in the company to 3.14 percent from 4.82 percent.

Innoventive Industries' stock closed at Rs 14.35, down 0.35 percent amid hefty volumes on Tuesday.


 


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Indonesia eases foreign investment rules to boost economy

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 24 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Indonesia announced on Tuesday it will allow increased levels of foreign investment in the country's power plants, advertising, and pharmaceutical industries as part of government efforts to boost the slowing economy.

Policymakers are scrambling to tempt back jaded investors who have fled Southeast Asia's largest economy due to the country's sizable current account deficit, which has helped make the rupiah skid more than 20 percent against the dollar this year.

Indonesia fears further foreign outflows due to political uncertainty ahead of next year's elections and the reduction of US monetary stimulus, which long fuelled demand for risky assets in emerging markets.

"The commitment is to maintain Indonesia's economic growth and anticipating a slowdown in the global economy by encouraging investment, particularly in domestic and foreign investment," Chief Economic Minister Hatta Rajasa told reporters.

After months of delays, ministers amended Indonesia's "negative investment list" of sectors in which foreign investors are either barred or restricted. The list, which has existed for decades, limits foreign involvement in areas deemed sensitive.

No date was given on when the changes will become effective since President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono must still formally sign the decree.

"This (list) will boost the investment climate during a political year, providing more legal certainty from a better negative investment list," said Sofjan Wanandi, head of the Employers' Association of Indonesia (APINDO).

Under the new policy, the government increased the maximum foreign investment in pharmaceutical companies to 85 percent from 75 percent, and in advertising agencies to 51 percent from 49 percent.

More Competition?

That means more competition could be in store for Indonesian pharmaceutical firms Kimia Farma , Indofarma and Kalbe Farma , as well as for advertising agency Fortune Indonesia .

Indonesia also allowed foreign investment of up to 100 percent from 95 percent for power plant projects carried out as a public-private partnership. Under the partnership terms, a foreign investor now can own an entire power-plant during a concession period, after which some equity transfers to the government.

At the last minute, the government dropped its earlier proposal to let foreign investors to fully operate airports and ports, dealing a blow to India's GVK Power & Infrastructure, South Korea's Incheon International Airport Corp and others looking for a bigger presence in Indonesia.

Economists said the changes were a good first step to attracting investment, but more was needed.

"The main problem is not the variation in investment types, but how comfortable for them to invest in Indonesia," said Lana Soelistianingsih, chief economist at Jakarta-based fund manager PT Samuel Aset Manajemen.

The World Bank and International Monetary Fund earlier this month warned the world's fourth most populous country to implement more profound economic reforms if it has any hope of returning to stronger growth.



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RBI likely to reboot policy, focus on consumer inflation

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could soon unveil a major change in monetary policy to explicitly make managing consumer inflation, rather than wholesale prices, its main objective.

The shift would be a significant one in a country that's long struggled to contain retail prices. It is expected as part of a deep review of monetary policy that RBI Raghuram Rajan ordered, after his September appointment, to sharpen the central bank's focus and increase its accountability.

The report, due by the end of the month, could also recommend making price stability the main objective of the central bank, while keeping but trimming the focus on its two other objectives: economic growth and financial stability.

If these changes are made, they would be the biggest overhaul at the RBI since 2011 when it adopted the repo rate as its main interest rate while intentionally keeping cash conditions tight to allow for more effective monetary policy.

The RBI is already making inflation a priority, having raised interest rates twice since September, but that is raising concerns about an economy growing at a decade-low pace and stuck in what some analysts call a stagflationary environment.

Historically, India's central bank has relied on the wholesale price index (WPI), which is based on the prices of traded goods and services and thus has a bias towards businesses.

In the coming report, "the main expectation is RBI will put in place an inflation-targeting framework, and the choice will be between WPI and CPI inflation and also between headline and core," said A. Prasanna, chief economist at ICICI Securities Primary Dealership.

"I expect the headline CPI to be the nominal anchor," he said.

The focus on consumer prices would come as annual retail inflation hit 11.24 percent in November, its highest level on record, as vegetable prices have surged because of India's poor infrastructure and transportation methods.

INDIA'S DIFFERENT FOCUS

Consumer prices are typically the key inflation gauge in most developed economies, but in India the focus has long been on wholesale prices because of the unreliable retail data.

However, CPI saw a major revamp in 2011, and Rajan has increasingly referred to it when publicly discussing monetary policy, signalling a shift in focus was already under way.

Under Rajan, the RBI has made fighting inflation a priority because of its pernicious impact on the poor. High consumer prices have also led Indians to prefer gold over other financial savings, leading to persistently strong imports that keep the current account balance in deficit.

The focus on inflation comes as India's growth remains well below the 9 percent annual levels seen in the second half of the previous decade, and well below what the government says is needed to reduce poverty and generate jobs.

Rajan has frequently described the trade-off between inflation and growth as a difficult one, although he has also said the two are not mutually exclusive.

After its interest rate hikes in September and October, the central surprised investors last week by keeping rates unchanged, citing in part the weak domestic economy.

AN EYE ON GROWTH

"Inflation targetting doesn't mean that you don't keep an eye on growth," Rajan said in a television interview with CNBC Awaaz on Monday.

"In an environment where growth is very weak, the weak growth is already doing some of your work for you, so you have to calibrate in a more careful way."

However, convincing lawmakers to change the RBI's objectives to focus on consumer inflation could be difficult as the fates of governments often hinge on whether they can ensure high growth and strong employment, but also low inflation.

The current government, led by the Congress party, faces national elections by May, and it has been drubbed in some recent state polls, partly due to high vegetable prices.

By statute, the RBI is not independent from the government, but its bureaucracy prizes autonomy, leading to previous clashes between the central bank and the finance ministry.

The RBI report is being compiled by a panel headed by Urjit Pael, its deputy governor for monetary policy. Rajan will decide on the review's final shape.



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Choppy Sensex weak; Aurobindo, Apollo Tyres most active

Dec 24, 2013, 02.23 PM IST

Bajaj Auto, Aban Offshore, Aurobindo Pharma, Apollo Tyres, Century Textiles, Infosys, SBI and ICICI Bank are the most active shares on exchanges.

Tags  BSE Sensex, Nifty, Market

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Choppy Sensex weak; Aurobindo, Apollo Tyres most active

Bajaj Auto, Aban Offshore, Aurobindo Pharma, Apollo Tyres, Century Textiles, Infosys, SBI and ICICI Bank are the most active shares on exchanges.

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

Choppy Sensex weak; Aurobindo, Apollo Tyres most active

Bajaj Auto, Aban Offshore, Aurobindo Pharma, Apollo Tyres, Century Textiles, Infosys, SBI and ICICI Bank are the most active shares on exchanges.

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14:23

Moneycontrol Bureau
Live Market Commentary
Equity benchmarks are marginally under pressure amid volatility in afternoon trade weighed down by HDFC twins. Index heavyweight ITC too slipped into red.

The Sensex declined 27.26 points to 21,073.77, and the Nifty fell 5.40 points to 6,279.10. Advancing shares outpaced declining ones by a ratio of 1314 to 968 on the BSE.

Bajaj Auto, Aban Offshore, Aurobindo Pharma, Apollo Tyres, Century Textiles, Infosys, SBI and ICICI Bank are the most active shares on exchanges.



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Natrajan's exit may speed up project clearances: HCC

Jayanti Natrajan's exit from the environment ministry is viewed by some as the UPA government's olive branch to industry. Ajit Gulabchand, CMD, Hindustan Construction Company , says the move is not just a case of change of guard but a change in the thinking of handling environment protection in the country. He says India lacks objectivity and there have been too many arbitrary decisions taken with reference to environmental nods.

Many projects got stalled during Natarajan regime. Gulabchand said there's a need to remove case-by-case approach on environmental clearances. "There's a need to establish procedures with uniform applications," he said on CNBC-TV18.

He feels the change of guard may speed up project clearances but many issues on the policy front still need to be adressed. He said it may take another 6 months for investment to pick up. 

Transcript to follow


Hind Constr stock price

On December 24, 2013, at 14:30 hrs Hindustan Construction Company was quoting at Rs 14.41, up Rs 0.22, or 1.55 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 20.85 and the 52-week low was Rs 7.75.


The latest book value of the company is Rs 19.17 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 0.75.


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NCR continues to reign as largest office market

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 22 Desember 2013 | 16.02

Knight Frank India today, launched its NCR office traction report focusing exclusively on the NCR market.The report talks about how the office market of a city with regard to new supply, vacancy trends, key tractions, industry wise absorption, micro-market split of absorption, rental trend and future outlook.

Key Takeaways:


  • NCR office market exhibits strong traction despite economic uncertainties
  • Office space take-up during the first nine months of 2013 has marginally exceeded those of the same period in 2012.
  • Total absorption for the current year is likely to be in the range of 6.3-6.8 mnsq.ft.
  • Share of other service sectors has almost doubled compared to 2011 with consulting & Media  companies largely contributing to the rise
  • Gurgaon remains at the forefront of both new office space and absorption in the market
  • PBD-Noida's share has reduced by 25% compared to 2012 due to a fall in the number of IT/ITeS transactions
Speaking about the research report Mr. Shishir Baijal, Chairman & Managing Director, Knight Frank India said, "The NCR office market has remained rock solid amidst economic woes. The fact that office space take-up during the first nine months of 2013 has marginally exceeded that of the same period in 2012 clearly indicates strong fundamentals in the NCR office market.Considering the current run rate of transactions and the level of pre-commitments, total absorption for the current year is likely to be in the range of 6.3-6.8 mn.Sq. ft. which is commendable given the weak global and domestic economic scenario".

Dr. Samantak Das, Chief Economist and Director-Research, Knight Frank India maintained," The IT/ITeS sector has been the primary driver of office space take up in the NCR market. While the beginning of the year showed a drastic dip in the sector's share, demand picked up during the next two quarters, though it was well below the peak levels of 2011. Going forward, we expect the sector's share to grow given the green shoots of recovery in the western economies."



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Choosing Financial Planner: Key points to note

Ronak Morjaria
Apnapaisa.com

Today if you ask any one, "From whom do you take investment advice?"
Most people will reply, " I seek investment advice from my agent, friends, relatives, newspapers, magazines or some TV shows." Rarely do you get to hear someone seeking investment advice from 'Financial Planner'. Today you have switched from 'vada pav' to 'Mc. Alu Tikki', 'laptop' to 'tablet / I-pad'. Similarly since the SEBI, Investment Adviser Regulations, 2013, are in place now; you should soon shift from 'Agent' to 'Financial Planner'. But you don't know who is a good Financial Planner? How to choose a good Financial Planner?

To sum it up in one line - A Financial Planner puts client's interest first, before his own interest; since he is getting paid for giving financial advice.

While choosing a Financial Planner you should consider some of the points below:

Licenses, credentials or other certifications:

Anyone who charges fees for giving investment advice needs to be registered with SEBI under Investment Adviser Regulations, 2013. Already few financial planners have got their registration certificate from SEBI. So, if your financial planner is charging fees, he should be registered as Investment Adviser with SEBI. You should also ask if the planner has additional certification like CFP (Certified Financial Planner), or any other similar certification or degree relating to this field.

Services offered:

You should know what kind of services the planner offers. Services can be goal based financial planning, estate planning, mutual fund distribution, insurance agency and PMS, etc. If the planner provides distribution services, then it is easy for you to implement the financial plan. But, on the other hand there can be bias in the recommendation given by the planner since he earns commission on the investment / insurance product you implement through him. So the planner must disclose the commission that he will earn if you implement the plan through him.

Fees:

Financial Planner charges fees for preparing a goal based financial plan for your financial future. Average fees for a financial plan ranges from Rs.15,000 – 25,000. The planner may charge additional fees for estate planning (preparing a will or incorporating Trust). You should also check that the planner does not have differential fee structure if you implement plan with him and if implement by yourself from a third party. The fees paid usually covers planning and review of the financial plan for a period of one year; so you should also ask about it before entering into a contract with the planner.

Basis of recommendation and research:

You should know on what basis the financial planner is recommending particular investment or insurance instrument. You should ask if the planner has a research team or he outsources research. This is important because the planner cannot recommend any investment / insurance without studying or knowing the investment / insurance product. Also, you should ask whether your risk profile would be assessed and considered for recommending investment.

Client-Planner interaction:

During the initial stage of data gathering and analyzing the financial situation, there is a lot of interaction between you and the planner. Apart from that, in the later stage after the plan presentation and implementation; the planner should review your portfolio and your goals periodically. You should ask how often your portfolio and the financial plan would be reviewed. Review is the most important part of the financial planning process.

These are the some of the points, which you should consider and know about the Financial Planner before choosing one for you. Some of you may not be aware that what is there in a Financial Plan and how does it look, so you can ask for a sample financial plan from the planner. Looking at the sample financial plan, you can get an overview and brief idea of what are the components of a financial plan. Since, now all Investment Advisers are under SEBI's eye; and thus they are obligated to comply with the regulations.

Now it's time to change, plan for your finances and find a good Financial Planner for yourself.

Apnapaisa is Online marketplace for loans & investments. Author can be reached at www.facebook.com/apnapaisa .



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